Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 19.3 (18.2-20.5) 24.0 (23.3-24.7) 29.5 (29.0-30.0) 35.7 (34.5-36.7) 42.3 (40.2-44.3)
Males 19.1 (17.6-20.8) 23.9 (22.9-24.9) 29.5 (28.8-30.2) 36.0 (34.5-37.5) 43.1 (40.4-45.7)
Females 19.6 (18.2-21.0) 24.1 (23.3-25.0) 29.4 (28.8-30.0) 35.3 (33.9-36.8) 41.7 (39.1-44.2)
White, non-Hispanic 19.0 (17.8-20.2) 23.5 (22.8-24.2) 28.8 (28.3-29.3) 34.8 (33.5-36.0) 41.2 (39.0-43.4)
Black, non-Hispanic 27.8 (22.1-33.8) 34.2 (30.9-37.5) 41.2 (39.5-42.8) 48.5 (44.2-52.6) 55.5 (48.1-62.5)
Hispanic 24.3 (20.3-28.5) 30.1 (27.8-32.5) 37.3 (35.9-38.7) 45.7 (42.3-48.9) 54.2 (48.6-59.6)
Other, non-Hispanic 12.1 (8.6-16.8) 15.2 (12.9-17.8) 19.2 (18.1-20.5) 24.3 (20.6-28.2) 30.2 (23.1-37.9)
Income: Less than $20k 23.9 (21.2-26.9) 29.8 (28.2-31.5) 37.0 (36.0-38.0) 45.2 (42.6-47.6) 53.6 (49.4-57.7)
Income: $20k to $50k 19.6 (17.8-21.6) 25.4 (24.4-26.6) 32.4 (31.6-33.2) 40.3 (38.3-42.2) 48.4 (45.0-51.7)
Income: $50k or more 17.4 (15.8-19.1) 22.0 (21.0-23.0) 27.4 (26.8-28.0) 33.5 (32.0-35.0) 40.2 (37.4-42.8)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 6.0 (5.4-6.7) 8.5 (8.0-8.9) 11.6 (11.3-12.0) 15.5 (14.6-16.5) 20.0 (18.2-22.1)
Males 4.7 (3.9-5.4) 6.9 (6.3-7.4) 9.9 (9.5-10.3) 13.9 (12.7-15.2) 18.7 (16.3-21.4)
Females 7.4 (6.5-8.3) 10.0 (9.4-10.6) 13.3 (12.8-13.7) 17.2 (16.0-18.4) 21.5 (19.3-24.0)
White, non-Hispanic 5.9 (5.2-6.6) 8.1 (7.7-8.6) 11.1 (10.7-11.4) 14.6 (13.7-15.7) 18.8 (16.9-20.9)
Black, non-Hispanic 13.7 (9.7-18.6) 16.4 (13.9-19.2) 19.4 (18.1-20.8) 22.3 (18.7-26.0) 25.1 (18.5-32.1)
Hispanic 6.3 (4.8-8.0) 10.3 (9.0-11.6) 16.0 (15.0-17.1) 23.4 (20.6-26.2) 31.7 (26.5-37.0)
Other, non-Hispanic 3.5 (2.1-5.3) 5.0 (3.9-6.3) 7.2 (6.4-7.9) 10.1 (7.8-12.9) 13.9 (9.0-20.1)
Income: Less than $20k 7.9 (6.5-9.5) 12.3 (11.3-13.4) 18.4 (17.6-19.3) 26.0 (23.7-28.2) 34.1 (30.1-38.2)
Income: $20k to $50k 6.4 (5.4-7.6) 9.5 (8.8-10.2) 13.6 (13.1-14.2) 18.8 (17.1-20.6) 24.5 (21.3-28.0)
Income: $50k or more 4.9 (4.2-5.7) 6.9 (6.3-7.4) 9.5 (9.1-9.9) 12.7 (11.6-13.9) 16.6 (14.3-19.0)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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