Obesity Prevalence
Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 22.3 (21.2-23.3) | 28.3 (27.6-28.9) | 35.1 (34.5-35.7) | 42.5 (41.3-43.8) | 50.0 (48.1-52.0) |
Males | 19.4 (18.0-20.8) | 25.3 (24.4-26.2) | 32.3 (31.5-33.0) | 40.0 (38.4-41.7) | 48.0 (45.4-50.8) |
Females | 25.1 (23.7-26.7) | 31.1 (30.3-32.0) | 37.9 (37.2-38.6) | 45.1 (43.6-46.5) | 52.1 (49.7-54.5) |
White, non-Hispanic | 19.7 (18.6-20.8) | 25.6 (24.9-26.3) | 32.6 (32.0-33.2) | 40.3 (39.1-41.6) | 48.3 (46.2-50.4) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 32.4 (30.2-34.8) | 38.7 (37.3-40.0) | 45.3 (44.4-46.3) | 52.1 (50.1-54.0) | 58.5 (55.4-61.6) |
Hispanic | 18.2 (13.7-23.5) | 24.6 (21.4-27.9) | 32.3 (30.2-34.4) | 40.7 (36.0-45.1) | 48.9 (40.7-56.3) |
Other, non-Hispanic | 16.6 (13.2-20.5) | 18.7 (16.5-21.0) | 21.2 (19.8-22.7) | 24.2 (21.1-27.4) | 27.8 (22.1-33.7) |
Income: Less than $20k | 29.6 (26.8-32.3) | 35.2 (33.5-36.7) | 41.2 (39.6-42.8) | 47.4 (44.4-50.4) | 53.6 (48.9-58.2) |
Income: $20k to $50k | 22.3 (20.8-23.8) | 30.0 (29.0-30.9) | 39.0 (38.1-40.0) | 48.8 (46.9-50.8) | 58.3 (55.3-61.1) |
Income: $50k or more | 20.3 (18.9-21.7) | 26.3 (25.4-27.2) | 33.4 (32.7-34.0) | 41.1 (39.6-42.6) | 49.0 (46.4-51.5) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 8.2 (7.6-8.9) | 11.4 (10.9-11.8) | 15.2 (14.8-15.7) | 19.7 (18.7-20.9) | 24.6 (22.8-26.6) |
Males | 5.7 (4.9-6.4) | 8.1 (7.6-8.6) | 11.3 (10.8-11.8) | 15.2 (14.1-16.5) | 19.7 (17.5-22.1) |
Females | 10.8 (9.7-11.8) | 14.5 (13.8-15.3) | 19.0 (18.4-19.7) | 24.1 (22.7-25.5) | 29.4 (27.0-31.9) |
White, non-Hispanic | 6.7 (6.1-7.4) | 9.7 (9.3-10.2) | 13.6 (13.2-14.1) | 18.3 (17.2-19.6) | 23.5 (21.5-25.9) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 13.9 (12.3-15.6) | 17.6 (16.6-18.6) | 21.7 (20.9-22.6) | 26.1 (24.4-28.1) | 30.5 (27.6-33.8) |
Hispanic | 6.5 (4.1-9.5) | 8.7 (6.9-10.5) | 11.3 (9.9-12.6) | 14.3 (11.1-17.8) | 17.4 (11.6-24.1) |
Other, non-Hispanic | 4.7 (3.2-6.6) | 6.1 (4.9-7.5) | 8.1 (7.2-9.0) | 10.5 (8.4-12.8) | 13.5 (9.4-18.5) |
Income: Less than $20k | 13.6 (11.7-15.7) | 17.3 (16.0-18.6) | 21.5 (20.3-22.8) | 26.1 (23.5-28.8) | 30.9 (26.2-35.1) |
Income: $20k to $50k | 8.1 (7.2-9.1) | 12.3 (11.7-13.0) | 17.9 (17.2-18.7) | 24.5 (22.7-26.3) | 31.3 (28.2-34.3) |
Income: $50k or more | 6.8 (5.9-7.6) | 9.6 (9.0-10.2) | 13.3 (12.8-13.8) | 17.7 (16.5-18.9) | 22.5 (20.2-24.9) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301