Obesity Prevalence
Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 21.8 (20.5-23.2) | 27.9 (27.1-28.7) | 34.9 (34.3-35.5) | 42.5 (41.3-43.8) | 50.3 (48.1-52.6) |
Males | 19.9 (18.1-22.0) | 26.0 (24.8-27.2) | 33.1 (32.4-34.0) | 41.1 (39.5-42.9) | 49.4 (46.3-52.5) |
Females | 23.7 (21.8-25.6) | 29.8 (28.6-30.9) | 36.6 (35.9-37.3) | 43.9 (42.3-45.5) | 51.3 (48.5-54.0) |
White, non-Hispanic | 21.9 (20.6-23.3) | 27.9 (27.1-28.8) | 34.9 (34.3-35.5) | 42.5 (41.2-43.9) | 50.3 (48.1-52.6) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 14.5 (4.6-30.1) | 21.9 (12.4-34.1) | 34.2 (27.8-41.1) | 47.6 (33.6-62.4) | 57.0 (34.4-77.1) |
Hispanic | 22.7 (13.8-33.6) | 27.1 (21.4-33.2) | 32.9 (28.8-37.0) | 39.6 (31.1-48.4) | 46.2 (31.7-60.4) |
Other, non-Hispanic | 19.7 (12.6-27.7) | 26.3 (21.2-31.3) | 34.8 (32.3-37.3) | 44.3 (37.7-50.5) | 53.4 (41.8-64.1) |
Income: Less than $20k | 23.4 (21.0-26.0) | 31.4 (29.8-33.0) | 40.9 (39.8-41.9) | 51.0 (48.6-53.4) | 60.7 (56.8-64.4) |
Income: $20k to $50k | 22.2 (20.3-24.3) | 29.0 (27.9-30.3) | 37.0 (36.2-37.8) | 45.7 (43.8-47.5) | 54.3 (51.1-57.4) |
Income: $50k or more | 20.0 (17.6-22.5) | 25.3 (23.7-26.8) | 31.6 (30.8-32.4) | 38.8 (36.9-40.8) | 46.4 (42.7-50.1) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 7.7 (6.9-8.6) | 10.8 (10.2-11.4) | 14.7 (14.3-15.2) | 19.2 (18.2-20.4) | 24.2 (22.1-26.4) |
Males | 5.5 (4.6-6.5) | 8.1 (7.4-8.9) | 11.6 (11.1-12.1) | 15.9 (14.6-17.3) | 20.9 (18.2-23.7) |
Females | 10.0 (8.7-11.3) | 13.5 (12.6-14.4) | 17.7 (17.2-18.4) | 22.6 (21.1-24.1) | 27.7 (25.0-30.3) |
White, non-Hispanic | 7.6 (6.8-8.6) | 10.7 (10.1-11.4) | 14.6 (14.2-15.1) | 19.3 (18.1-20.4) | 24.4 (22.2-26.6) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 7.7 (1.5-21.3) | 11.3 (5.1-20.2) | 17.1 (11.8-23.0) | 23.2 (11.2-37.1) | 27.3 (8.7-49.1) |
Hispanic | 11.8 (5.6-21.1) | 12.2 (8.4-16.8) | 12.6 (10.2-15.1) | 13.0 (8.0-19.2) | 13.3 (5.5-24.6) |
Other, non-Hispanic | 10.8 (6.0-17.9) | 13.4 (10.1-17.5) | 16.3 (14.6-18.1) | 19.1 (14.6-24.1) | 21.6 (13.2-31.6) |
Income: Less than $20k | 9.7 (8.1-11.5) | 14.4 (13.2-15.7) | 20.6 (19.7-21.5) | 27.5 (25.4-29.7) | 34.6 (30.8-38.3) |
Income: $20k to $50k | 7.8 (6.6-9.0) | 11.4 (10.6-12.3) | 16.2 (15.6-16.8) | 21.9 (20.2-23.6) | 28.1 (24.8-31.2) |
Income: $50k or more | 5.4 (4.3-6.6) | 7.9 (7.0-8.8) | 11.3 (10.8-11.8) | 15.7 (14.3-17.2) | 20.8 (17.6-24.2) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301