Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 25.0 (23.7-26.4) 32.1 (31.3-32.9) 40.2 (39.6-40.9) 48.8 (47.5-50.1) 57.2 (55.1-59.2)
Males 21.9 (20.0-23.7) 29.1 (27.9-30.3) 37.7 (36.7-38.6) 47.0 (45.2-48.9) 56.3 (53.2-59.3)
Females 28.1 (26.3-30.0) 35.0 (34.0-36.0) 42.7 (41.9-43.4) 50.7 (49.0-52.4) 58.3 (55.6-61.0)
White, non-Hispanic 21.8 (20.4-23.3) 28.7 (27.8-29.6) 36.9 (36.2-37.6) 45.8 (44.3-47.3) 54.6 (52.1-57.0)
Black, non-Hispanic 34.8 (31.7-38.0) 41.6 (40.0-43.3) 49.0 (47.9-50.1) 56.5 (54.0-59.0) 63.6 (59.7-67.3)
Hispanic 23.1 (17.5-29.5) 29.1 (25.7-32.7) 36.0 (32.6-39.1) 43.4 (36.4-50.5) 50.7 (39.4-62.0)
Other, non-Hispanic 21.1 (15.3-28.0) 26.9 (23.2-30.7) 33.7 (31.1-36.3) 41.1 (35.1-47.2) 48.0 (38.2-58.0)
Income: Less than $20k 31.1 (28.6-33.7) 38.3 (36.9-39.8) 46.4 (45.2-47.6) 54.8 (52.3-57.3) 62.7 (58.8-66.3)
Income: $20k to $50k 22.9 (20.9-25.0) 31.7 (30.4-32.9) 42.2 (41.2-43.2) 53.3 (51.0-55.6) 63.6 (60.1-67.0)
Income: $50k or more 21.5 (19.2-24.2) 28.8 (27.4-30.5) 37.7 (36.8-38.6) 47.6 (45.3-49.8) 57.3 (53.4-60.8)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 9.4 (8.5-10.3) 13.6 (13.0-14.2) 18.9 (18.3-19.4) 24.9 (23.6-26.3) 31.2 (28.9-33.5)
Males 6.5 (5.6-7.6) 10.0 (9.2-10.7) 14.7 (14.0-15.3) 20.4 (18.7-22.1) 26.8 (23.5-29.9)
Females 12.2 (11.0-13.6) 17.1 (16.2-17.9) 23.0 (22.3-23.6) 29.5 (27.8-31.2) 36.0 (33.2-38.9)
White, non-Hispanic 7.6 (6.7-8.4) 11.3 (10.7-11.9) 16.2 (15.7-16.8) 22.1 (20.7-23.5) 28.4 (25.8-30.9)
Black, non-Hispanic 14.6 (12.7-16.8) 19.7 (18.5-21.0) 25.6 (24.7-26.6) 32.0 (29.8-34.4) 38.3 (34.5-42.2)
Hispanic 9.6 (5.8-14.4) 12.3 (9.7-14.9) 15.5 (13.2-17.8) 19.1 (13.8-25.2) 22.8 (13.3-33.9)
Other, non-Hispanic 8.6 (5.5-12.3) 11.6 (9.3-14.0) 15.3 (13.5-17.2) 19.5 (15.1-24.1) 23.7 (15.9-31.9)
Income: Less than $20k 13.2 (11.5-15.0) 19.1 (17.9-20.2) 26.2 (25.2-27.2) 34.0 (31.7-36.3) 41.6 (37.9-45.4)
Income: $20k to $50k 8.5 (7.4-9.7) 13.5 (12.6-14.4) 20.2 (19.4-21.1) 28.0 (26.0-30.2) 35.8 (32.3-39.2)
Income: $50k or more 5.6 (4.6-6.8) 9.4 (8.5-10.3) 14.9 (14.2-15.6) 21.9 (20.0-24.0) 29.7 (25.9-33.5)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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