Obesity Prevalence
Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 25.0 (23.7-26.4) | 32.1 (31.3-32.9) | 40.2 (39.6-40.9) | 48.8 (47.5-50.1) | 57.2 (55.1-59.2) |
Males | 21.9 (20.0-23.7) | 29.1 (27.9-30.3) | 37.7 (36.7-38.6) | 47.0 (45.2-48.9) | 56.3 (53.2-59.3) |
Females | 28.1 (26.3-30.0) | 35.0 (34.0-36.0) | 42.7 (41.9-43.4) | 50.7 (49.0-52.4) | 58.3 (55.6-61.0) |
White, non-Hispanic | 21.8 (20.4-23.3) | 28.7 (27.8-29.6) | 36.9 (36.2-37.6) | 45.8 (44.3-47.3) | 54.6 (52.1-57.0) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 34.8 (31.7-38.0) | 41.6 (40.0-43.3) | 49.0 (47.9-50.1) | 56.5 (54.0-59.0) | 63.6 (59.7-67.3) |
Hispanic | 23.1 (17.5-29.5) | 29.1 (25.7-32.7) | 36.0 (32.6-39.1) | 43.4 (36.4-50.5) | 50.7 (39.4-62.0) |
Other, non-Hispanic | 21.1 (15.3-28.0) | 26.9 (23.2-30.7) | 33.7 (31.1-36.3) | 41.1 (35.1-47.2) | 48.0 (38.2-58.0) |
Income: Less than $20k | 31.1 (28.6-33.7) | 38.3 (36.9-39.8) | 46.4 (45.2-47.6) | 54.8 (52.3-57.3) | 62.7 (58.8-66.3) |
Income: $20k to $50k | 22.9 (20.9-25.0) | 31.7 (30.4-32.9) | 42.2 (41.2-43.2) | 53.3 (51.0-55.6) | 63.6 (60.1-67.0) |
Income: $50k or more | 21.5 (19.2-24.2) | 28.8 (27.4-30.5) | 37.7 (36.8-38.6) | 47.6 (45.3-49.8) | 57.3 (53.4-60.8) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 9.4 (8.5-10.3) | 13.6 (13.0-14.2) | 18.9 (18.3-19.4) | 24.9 (23.6-26.3) | 31.2 (28.9-33.5) |
Males | 6.5 (5.6-7.6) | 10.0 (9.2-10.7) | 14.7 (14.0-15.3) | 20.4 (18.7-22.1) | 26.8 (23.5-29.9) |
Females | 12.2 (11.0-13.6) | 17.1 (16.2-17.9) | 23.0 (22.3-23.6) | 29.5 (27.8-31.2) | 36.0 (33.2-38.9) |
White, non-Hispanic | 7.6 (6.7-8.4) | 11.3 (10.7-11.9) | 16.2 (15.7-16.8) | 22.1 (20.7-23.5) | 28.4 (25.8-30.9) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 14.6 (12.7-16.8) | 19.7 (18.5-21.0) | 25.6 (24.7-26.6) | 32.0 (29.8-34.4) | 38.3 (34.5-42.2) |
Hispanic | 9.6 (5.8-14.4) | 12.3 (9.7-14.9) | 15.5 (13.2-17.8) | 19.1 (13.8-25.2) | 22.8 (13.3-33.9) |
Other, non-Hispanic | 8.6 (5.5-12.3) | 11.6 (9.3-14.0) | 15.3 (13.5-17.2) | 19.5 (15.1-24.1) | 23.7 (15.9-31.9) |
Income: Less than $20k | 13.2 (11.5-15.0) | 19.1 (17.9-20.2) | 26.2 (25.2-27.2) | 34.0 (31.7-36.3) | 41.6 (37.9-45.4) |
Income: $20k to $50k | 8.5 (7.4-9.7) | 13.5 (12.6-14.4) | 20.2 (19.4-21.1) | 28.0 (26.0-30.2) | 35.8 (32.3-39.2) |
Income: $50k or more | 5.6 (4.6-6.8) | 9.4 (8.5-10.3) | 14.9 (14.2-15.6) | 21.9 (20.0-24.0) | 29.7 (25.9-33.5) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301