Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 25.5 (24.3-26.7) 31.9 (31.1-32.7) 39.2 (38.6-39.8) 47.1 (45.8-48.3) 54.8 (52.9-56.8)
Males 23.2 (21.6-24.8) 29.8 (28.7-30.8) 37.5 (36.7-38.3) 45.9 (44.3-47.6) 54.5 (51.8-57.2)
Females 27.7 (26.2-29.3) 33.9 (33.0-34.9) 40.9 (40.2-41.7) 48.3 (46.7-49.8) 55.4 (53.0-57.9)
White, non-Hispanic 24.5 (23.3-25.7) 31.1 (30.4-31.9) 38.8 (38.2-39.4) 47.0 (45.8-48.3) 55.1 (53.1-57.1)
Black, non-Hispanic 39.4 (34.3-44.5) 44.5 (41.6-47.5) 50.0 (48.0-52.2) 55.5 (51.2-59.4) 60.8 (54.3-66.9)
Hispanic 30.8 (20.1-42.4) 31.4 (25.4-37.7) 32.4 (28.7-36.0) 33.8 (25.8-42.2) 35.4 (22.5-50.5)
Other, non-Hispanic 28.2 (18.8-38.5) 30.8 (25.2-36.7) 33.8 (30.6-36.8) 37.2 (30.5-44.0) 40.9 (29.0-53.4)
Income: Less than $20k 29.8 (27.7-31.9) 36.5 (35.2-37.8) 44.0 (42.9-45.1) 51.9 (49.7-53.9) 59.4 (56.1-62.4)
Income: $20k to $50k 25.5 (23.8-27.5) 32.9 (31.7-34.1) 41.5 (40.6-42.4) 50.7 (48.9-52.5) 59.6 (56.8-62.3)
Income: $50k or more 20.9 (18.7-23.2) 28.2 (26.8-29.6) 37.0 (36.2-37.9) 46.9 (44.8-48.9) 56.7 (53.2-60.1)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 9.2 (8.5-10.1) 13.1 (12.5-13.6) 17.9 (17.3-18.4) 23.4 (22.3-24.6) 29.4 (27.4-31.4)
Males 6.7 (5.8-7.6) 10.0 (9.3-10.7) 14.5 (13.9-15.1) 19.9 (18.5-21.4) 26.0 (23.3-28.8)
Females 11.8 (10.6-12.9) 16.1 (15.3-16.8) 21.3 (20.5-21.9) 27.1 (25.5-28.6) 33.1 (30.5-35.7)
White, non-Hispanic 8.7 (8.0-9.5) 12.5 (12.0-13.1) 17.4 (16.9-17.9) 23.1 (22.0-24.4) 29.2 (27.3-31.5)
Black, non-Hispanic 17.5 (14.0-21.4) 22.1 (19.8-24.3) 27.2 (25.1-29.2) 32.6 (28.9-36.7) 38.0 (32.0-44.5)
Hispanic 13.7 (6.2-24.4) 13.3 (8.9-18.6) 13.1 (10.5-15.7) 13.1 (7.8-19.5) 13.3 (5.3-26.0)
Other, non-Hispanic 10.0 (5.1-17.1) 12.0 (8.5-15.9) 14.5 (12.4-16.6) 17.3 (12.8-22.7) 20.5 (12.0-31.1)
Income: Less than $20k 12.3 (10.8-13.9) 17.2 (16.2-18.2) 23.0 (22.1-23.9) 29.5 (27.4-31.6) 36.1 (32.6-39.6)
Income: $20k to $50k 9.0 (7.9-10.1) 13.7 (12.8-14.5) 19.7 (19.0-20.5) 26.9 (25.1-28.7) 34.3 (31.3-37.3)
Income: $50k or more 6.2 (5.2-7.5) 9.7 (8.9-10.7) 14.7 (14.0-15.4) 20.9 (19.1-22.8) 27.8 (24.2-31.4)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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