Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 21.3 (20.1-22.6) 28.4 (27.5-29.2) 36.9 (36.4-37.4) 46.3 (45.2-47.5) 55.6 (53.8-57.5)
Males 20.5 (18.8-22.1) 27.2 (26.1-28.3) 35.5 (34.8-36.2) 44.8 (43.4-46.3) 54.3 (51.8-56.9)
Females 22.3 (20.7-23.9) 29.6 (28.6-30.6) 38.4 (37.8-39.0) 47.9 (46.5-49.4) 57.0 (54.7-59.5)
White, non-Hispanic 21.0 (19.7-22.2) 27.9 (27.1-28.7) 36.3 (35.8-36.8) 45.6 (44.4-46.8) 54.8 (52.8-56.7)
Black, non-Hispanic 33.1 (26.6-40.1) 40.4 (36.5-44.2) 48.4 (46.6-50.1) 56.4 (52.3-60.3) 63.9 (57.1-70.3)
Hispanic 21.6 (17.1-26.6) 30.2 (27.2-33.3) 40.6 (39.1-42.2) 51.6 (47.8-55.3) 61.5 (55.3-67.3)
Other, non-Hispanic 21.4 (16.3-27.8) 25.8 (22.7-29.4) 31.4 (29.9-33.0) 37.9 (33.6-41.8) 44.8 (36.7-52.2)
Income: Less than $20k 22.3 (19.8-25.2) 30.7 (29.1-32.5) 40.9 (40.0-42.0) 51.7 (49.5-54.0) 61.6 (57.9-64.9)
Income: $20k to $50k 20.8 (19.1-22.5) 29.2 (28.1-30.3) 39.7 (39.0-40.4) 51.2 (49.6-52.8) 61.8 (59.3-64.1)
Income: $50k or more 21.3 (19.3-23.2) 27.5 (26.3-28.7) 35.1 (34.5-35.8) 43.8 (42.3-45.3) 52.7 (50.1-55.4)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 6.9 (6.3-7.5) 10.9 (10.4-11.4) 16.5 (16.1-16.9) 23.3 (22.2-24.3) 30.6 (28.7-32.5)
Males 5.3 (4.5-6.0) 8.6 (7.9-9.2) 13.4 (12.9-13.8) 19.6 (18.3-20.9) 26.7 (24.3-29.3)
Females 8.6 (7.6-9.6) 13.3 (12.6-14.1) 19.7 (19.2-20.2) 27.2 (25.9-28.6) 34.8 (32.6-37.2)
White, non-Hispanic 6.7 (6.0-7.3) 10.6 (10.0-11.1) 15.9 (15.5-16.3) 22.6 (21.5-23.6) 29.8 (27.8-31.7)
Black, non-Hispanic 14.6 (10.9-18.9) 19.8 (17.3-22.5) 25.9 (24.4-27.4) 32.4 (28.7-35.8) 38.8 (32.3-44.8)
Hispanic 7.8 (5.6-10.5) 12.2 (10.4-14.2) 18.3 (17.1-19.4) 25.3 (22.2-28.3) 32.2 (26.4-37.9)
Other, non-Hispanic 6.7 (4.6-9.3) 9.9 (8.2-11.7) 14.3 (13.2-15.5) 20.0 (16.9-22.8) 26.4 (20.1-32.0)
Income: Less than $20k 9.3 (7.7-11.1) 14.7 (13.5-16.0) 22.0 (21.1-22.8) 30.2 (28.0-32.3) 38.2 (34.3-41.8)
Income: $20k to $50k 6.6 (5.8-7.5) 11.5 (10.8-12.2) 18.5 (17.9-19.0) 27.1 (25.6-28.5) 35.8 (33.2-38.3)
Income: $50k or more 5.8 (4.9-6.7) 9.2 (8.5-9.9) 14.0 (13.5-14.5) 20.2 (18.9-21.5) 27.4 (24.8-30.0)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

Read a summary

Read the abstract