Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 24.2 (23.0-25.4) 30.2 (29.4-30.9) 37.1 (36.5-37.7) 44.5 (43.3-45.8) 52.0 (50.0-54.0)
Males 22.7 (21.1-24.4) 28.9 (27.9-30.0) 36.3 (35.4-37.0) 44.3 (42.8-45.9) 52.6 (49.8-55.2)
Females 25.8 (24.2-27.4) 31.5 (30.5-32.5) 38.0 (37.3-38.7) 44.9 (43.3-46.4) 51.9 (49.2-54.4)
White, non-Hispanic 24.2 (23.0-25.5) 30.3 (29.5-31.0) 37.2 (36.6-37.8) 44.7 (43.4-45.9) 52.2 (50.2-54.2)
Black, non-Hispanic 35.0 (24.9-46.1) 39.0 (33.1-45.1) 43.9 (40.0-47.8) 49.3 (41.6-57.2) 54.6 (41.5-66.9)
Hispanic 21.1 (15.1-28.0) 28.5 (24.1-32.9) 37.2 (34.5-40.1) 45.7 (40.0-51.8) 52.6 (43.0-62.5)
Other, non-Hispanic 16.3 (10.4-24.1) 21.3 (17.3-26.1) 27.9 (25.2-30.6) 35.9 (28.7-42.9) 44.3 (31.5-56.7)
Income: Less than $20k 25.8 (23.6-28.2) 33.0 (31.6-34.3) 41.5 (40.2-42.7) 50.6 (48.0-53.2) 59.5 (55.4-63.3)
Income: $20k to $50k 24.5 (22.8-26.1) 31.3 (30.3-32.4) 39.4 (38.5-40.2) 48.0 (46.2-49.7) 56.6 (53.7-59.2)
Income: $50k or more 22.1 (20.1-24.4) 28.3 (27.0-29.6) 35.6 (34.8-36.4) 43.8 (41.9-45.5) 52.2 (48.9-55.2)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 8.3 (7.5-9.1) 11.7 (11.1-12.2) 15.9 (15.5-16.4) 21.0 (19.9-22.1) 26.4 (24.4-28.5)
Males 5.9 (5.1-6.8) 9.1 (8.4-9.7) 13.3 (12.8-13.9) 18.7 (17.3-20.1) 24.8 (22.0-27.7)
Females 10.7 (9.5-11.9) 14.3 (13.5-15.1) 18.6 (18.0-19.3) 23.5 (22.1-25.1) 28.8 (26.1-31.5)
White, non-Hispanic 8.3 (7.5-9.1) 11.7 (11.1-12.2) 15.9 (15.4-16.3) 20.8 (19.7-21.9) 26.1 (24.1-28.2)
Black, non-Hispanic 13.3 (7.4-20.3) 17.9 (13.8-22.0) 23.6 (20.5-26.7) 30.0 (23.0-37.6) 36.4 (24.2-48.9)
Hispanic 8.1 (4.7-12.4) 11.9 (9.3-14.9) 16.8 (14.6-19.0) 22.1 (17.5-27.6) 26.8 (18.5-36.2)
Other, non-Hispanic 6.3 (2.8-11.4) 8.9 (6.0-12.0) 12.5 (10.5-14.6) 17.2 (11.9-23.0) 22.6 (12.0-34.4)
Income: Less than $20k 9.8 (8.2-11.2) 14.8 (13.7-15.9) 21.4 (20.3-22.5) 29.1 (26.7-31.5) 36.9 (33.0-40.8)
Income: $20k to $50k 8.3 (7.3-9.4) 12.3 (11.6-13.0) 17.6 (16.9-18.2) 23.8 (22.1-25.3) 30.5 (27.6-33.2)
Income: $50k or more 6.2 (5.2-7.3) 9.5 (8.7-10.3) 13.9 (13.4-14.5) 19.5 (18.0-21.0) 25.8 (22.8-29.0)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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