Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 25.7 (24.3-26.9) 31.4 (30.6-32.2) 37.8 (37.2-38.4) 44.7 (43.5-45.9) 51.6 (49.7-53.6)
Males 23.1 (21.4-24.8) 28.8 (27.8-30.0) 35.6 (34.9-36.4) 43.0 (41.5-44.7) 50.7 (48.1-53.5)
Females 28.3 (26.6-29.9) 33.9 (32.9-34.9) 40.1 (39.3-40.8) 46.5 (45.0-48.2) 52.9 (50.3-55.4)
White, non-Hispanic 24.7 (23.4-26.0) 30.6 (29.7-31.4) 37.2 (36.6-37.8) 44.3 (43.1-45.5) 51.4 (49.5-53.6)
Black, non-Hispanic 41.3 (36.4-46.5) 44.5 (41.9-47.4) 47.9 (46.1-49.7) 51.3 (47.6-55.0) 54.8 (48.4-60.9)
Hispanic 29.2 (22.4-36.6) 33.4 (29.4-37.4) 37.9 (35.6-40.2) 42.8 (37.6-48.6) 47.7 (38.6-57.0)
Other, non-Hispanic 24.2 (17.4-31.9) 27.6 (23.8-31.5) 32.0 (29.7-34.5) 37.2 (32.0-42.6) 42.9 (33.5-52.3)
Income: Less than $20k 29.9 (27.4-32.7) 35.8 (34.4-37.5) 42.5 (41.4-43.7) 49.7 (47.2-51.9) 56.6 (52.7-60.1)
Income: $20k to $50k 25.7 (23.8-27.6) 32.4 (31.3-33.6) 40.0 (39.3-40.9) 48.1 (46.4-49.9) 55.9 (53.1-58.6)
Income: $50k or more 23.9 (21.8-25.9) 29.4 (28.1-30.7) 35.7 (34.8-36.5) 42.5 (40.8-44.3) 49.6 (46.4-52.8)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 9.7 (8.8-10.6) 13.1 (12.5-13.7) 17.2 (16.7-17.7) 21.9 (20.8-23.0) 26.9 (24.8-29.0)
Males 6.7 (5.7-7.8) 9.7 (9.0-10.4) 13.7 (13.1-14.2) 18.5 (17.1-19.9) 24.1 (21.2-26.9)
Females 12.7 (11.4-14.1) 16.4 (15.6-17.3) 20.7 (20.1-21.3) 25.5 (24.0-26.9) 30.3 (27.8-32.8)
White, non-Hispanic 9.3 (8.4-10.2) 12.6 (12.0-13.2) 16.7 (16.2-17.2) 21.5 (20.3-22.6) 26.5 (24.3-28.7)
Black, non-Hispanic 18.6 (14.9-22.6) 21.8 (19.7-24.0) 25.2 (23.8-26.7) 28.9 (25.6-32.2) 32.7 (26.9-38.4)
Hispanic 10.7 (6.8-15.5) 12.7 (10.2-15.3) 14.9 (13.3-16.5) 17.4 (13.5-21.8) 20.1 (13.2-28.4)
Other, non-Hispanic 7.0 (4.3-10.2) 10.1 (8.0-12.3) 14.4 (12.7-16.1) 19.7 (15.6-24.0) 25.7 (18.1-34.0)
Income: Less than $20k 12.3 (10.5-14.4) 17.1 (15.9-18.5) 23.0 (22.0-23.9) 29.5 (27.2-31.7) 36.3 (32.2-40.0)
Income: $20k to $50k 9.9 (8.8-11.3) 13.9 (13.1-14.7) 18.7 (18.0-19.4) 24.2 (22.6-25.9) 29.9 (27.1-32.9)
Income: $50k or more 7.6 (6.5-8.8) 10.5 (9.7-11.3) 14.2 (13.7-14.8) 18.7 (17.2-20.2) 23.6 (20.7-26.6)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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