Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 22.5 (21.2-23.7) 27.8 (27.1-28.6) 34.0 (33.4-34.7) 40.8 (39.4-42.2) 47.7 (45.4-50.0)
Males 20.4 (18.7-22.2) 26.0 (24.9-27.1) 32.7 (31.8-33.6) 40.2 (38.1-42.1) 48.0 (44.5-51.3)
Females 24.7 (23.1-26.5) 29.8 (28.8-30.7) 35.4 (34.6-36.2) 41.5 (39.7-43.3) 47.7 (44.6-50.6)
White, non-Hispanic 22.2 (20.9-23.5) 27.5 (26.6-28.2) 33.5 (32.8-34.1) 40.0 (38.6-41.4) 46.7 (44.3-49.1)
Black, non-Hispanic 27.0 (9.1-52.8) 29.9 (18.3-44.6) 34.8 (24.4-46.3) 40.8 (20.0-63.4) 46.1 (15.6-78.6)
Hispanic 29.7 (24.2-35.3) 34.2 (30.9-37.2) 39.4 (37.1-41.6) 45.0 (40.3-49.9) 50.7 (42.8-58.8)
Other, non-Hispanic 24.1 (18.3-30.5) 29.6 (26.2-33.2) 36.2 (33.5-39.0) 43.4 (37.5-50.1) 50.8 (40.9-61.4)
Income: Less than $20k 23.3 (21.2-25.6) 29.7 (28.4-30.9) 37.3 (35.9-38.6) 45.7 (43.0-48.4) 54.3 (50.0-58.5)
Income: $20k to $50k 22.3 (20.5-24.3) 28.7 (27.5-29.9) 36.2 (35.3-37.2) 44.3 (42.3-46.3) 52.3 (49.0-55.6)
Income: $50k or more 21.6 (19.4-24.0) 26.3 (24.9-27.6) 31.7 (30.8-32.6) 37.6 (35.3-39.9) 43.9 (40.0-47.7)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 7.6 (6.9-8.4) 10.5 (10.0-11.0) 14.1 (13.6-14.6) 18.3 (17.1-19.5) 23.0 (20.8-25.2)
Males 5.1 (4.3-5.9) 7.6 (7.0-8.2) 11.1 (10.5-11.7) 15.5 (14.1-17.2) 20.8 (17.9-23.8)
Females 10.4 (9.1-11.6) 13.5 (12.7-14.2) 17.2 (16.5-17.9) 21.5 (19.9-23.0) 26.0 (23.3-28.7)
White, non-Hispanic 7.6 (6.8-8.4) 10.3 (9.8-10.8) 13.7 (13.2-14.2) 17.6 (16.4-18.8) 22.0 (19.9-24.2)
Black, non-Hispanic 6.9 (0.8-19.1) 8.3 (2.9-15.6) 11.1 (5.8-18.1) 15.4 (3.8-33.7) 19.8 (2.2-47.3)
Hispanic 9.6 (6.5-13.3) 13.1 (11.0-15.3) 17.5 (15.8-19.3) 22.7 (18.1-27.3) 28.3 (20.4-36.3)
Other, non-Hispanic 8.6 (5.7-12.3) 12.0 (10.0-14.2) 16.3 (14.3-18.4) 21.5 (16.4-27.1) 27.2 (18.4-37.0)
Income: Less than $20k 8.5 (7.2-10.0) 12.8 (11.8-13.8) 18.4 (17.3-19.6) 25.3 (22.7-27.8) 32.6 (28.3-36.9)
Income: $20k to $50k 7.6 (6.6-8.6) 11.0 (10.2-11.6) 15.3 (14.6-16.1) 20.4 (18.8-22.2) 26.0 (23.0-29.1)
Income: $50k or more 6.3 (5.2-7.7) 8.6 (7.7-9.4) 11.4 (10.8-12.0) 14.9 (13.2-16.6) 18.8 (15.6-22.4)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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