Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22.5 (21.2-23.7) | 27.8 (27.1-28.6) | 34.0 (33.4-34.7) | 40.8 (39.4-42.2) | 47.7 (45.4-50.0) |
| Males | 20.4 (18.7-22.2) | 26.0 (24.9-27.1) | 32.7 (31.8-33.6) | 40.2 (38.1-42.1) | 48.0 (44.5-51.3) |
| Females | 24.7 (23.1-26.5) | 29.8 (28.8-30.7) | 35.4 (34.6-36.2) | 41.5 (39.7-43.3) | 47.7 (44.6-50.6) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 22.2 (20.9-23.5) | 27.5 (26.6-28.2) | 33.5 (32.8-34.1) | 40.0 (38.6-41.4) | 46.7 (44.3-49.1) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 27.0 (9.1-52.8) | 29.9 (18.3-44.6) | 34.8 (24.4-46.3) | 40.8 (20.0-63.4) | 46.1 (15.6-78.6) |
| Hispanic | 29.7 (24.2-35.3) | 34.2 (30.9-37.2) | 39.4 (37.1-41.6) | 45.0 (40.3-49.9) | 50.7 (42.8-58.8) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 24.1 (18.3-30.5) | 29.6 (26.2-33.2) | 36.2 (33.5-39.0) | 43.4 (37.5-50.1) | 50.8 (40.9-61.4) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 23.3 (21.2-25.6) | 29.7 (28.4-30.9) | 37.3 (35.9-38.6) | 45.7 (43.0-48.4) | 54.3 (50.0-58.5) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 22.3 (20.5-24.3) | 28.7 (27.5-29.9) | 36.2 (35.3-37.2) | 44.3 (42.3-46.3) | 52.3 (49.0-55.6) |
| Income: $50k or more | 21.6 (19.4-24.0) | 26.3 (24.9-27.6) | 31.7 (30.8-32.6) | 37.6 (35.3-39.9) | 43.9 (40.0-47.7) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7.6 (6.9-8.4) | 10.5 (10.0-11.0) | 14.1 (13.6-14.6) | 18.3 (17.1-19.5) | 23.0 (20.8-25.2) |
| Males | 5.1 (4.3-5.9) | 7.6 (7.0-8.2) | 11.1 (10.5-11.7) | 15.5 (14.1-17.2) | 20.8 (17.9-23.8) |
| Females | 10.4 (9.1-11.6) | 13.5 (12.7-14.2) | 17.2 (16.5-17.9) | 21.5 (19.9-23.0) | 26.0 (23.3-28.7) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 7.6 (6.8-8.4) | 10.3 (9.8-10.8) | 13.7 (13.2-14.2) | 17.6 (16.4-18.8) | 22.0 (19.9-24.2) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 6.9 (0.8-19.1) | 8.3 (2.9-15.6) | 11.1 (5.8-18.1) | 15.4 (3.8-33.7) | 19.8 (2.2-47.3) |
| Hispanic | 9.6 (6.5-13.3) | 13.1 (11.0-15.3) | 17.5 (15.8-19.3) | 22.7 (18.1-27.3) | 28.3 (20.4-36.3) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 8.6 (5.7-12.3) | 12.0 (10.0-14.2) | 16.3 (14.3-18.4) | 21.5 (16.4-27.1) | 27.2 (18.4-37.0) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 8.5 (7.2-10.0) | 12.8 (11.8-13.8) | 18.4 (17.3-19.6) | 25.3 (22.7-27.8) | 32.6 (28.3-36.9) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 7.6 (6.6-8.6) | 11.0 (10.2-11.6) | 15.3 (14.6-16.1) | 20.4 (18.8-22.2) | 26.0 (23.0-29.1) |
| Income: $50k or more | 6.3 (5.2-7.7) | 8.6 (7.7-9.4) | 11.4 (10.8-12.0) | 14.9 (13.2-16.6) | 18.8 (15.6-22.4) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301