Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 18.2 (17.1-19.3) 23.0 (22.2-23.7) 28.5 (28.0-29.0) 34.7 (33.5-35.9) 41.3 (39.2-43.4)
Males 17.9 (16.2-19.5) 23.1 (22.1-24.1) 29.2 (28.5-30.0) 36.1 (34.4-37.6) 43.3 (40.3-46.1)
Females 18.5 (17.1-20.2) 22.8 (21.9-23.8) 27.8 (27.1-28.4) 33.3 (31.7-34.9) 39.1 (36.4-41.9)
White, non-Hispanic 17.2 (15.4-19.0) 20.5 (19.4-21.5) 24.2 (23.4-25.0) 28.3 (26.5-30.2) 32.7 (29.4-36.2)
Black, non-Hispanic 23.3 (15.8-32.5) 30.3 (25.1-35.6) 38.9 (33.7-44.1) 48.4 (38.1-58.4) 57.3 (41.5-72.3)
Hispanic 19.3 (15.6-23.4) 26.3 (23.8-28.9) 35.0 (33.2-36.7) 44.7 (40.9-48.5) 54.5 (48.2-60.7)
Other, non-Hispanic 18.6 (17.2-20.1) 23.5 (22.6-24.5) 29.2 (28.5-29.9) 35.5 (34.1-37.0) 42.1 (39.7-44.9)
Income: Less than $20k 20.5 (18.1-23.3) 25.4 (24.0-27.1) 31.1 (30.0-32.3) 37.4 (34.9-40.0) 44.1 (39.5-48.4)
Income: $20k to $50k 18.4 (16.6-20.3) 23.7 (22.6-24.8) 30.0 (29.1-30.8) 37.1 (35.1-39.0) 44.7 (41.2-48.1)
Income: $50k or more 17.9 (15.9-19.8) 22.5 (21.2-23.6) 27.9 (27.1-28.6) 33.8 (32.1-35.6) 40.2 (37.1-43.3)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 7.0 (6.2-7.8) 9.2 (8.6-9.7) 11.8 (11.4-12.2) 14.9 (13.9-15.8) 18.2 (16.4-20.2)
Males 5.9 (4.9-6.9) 8.0 (7.3-8.7) 10.7 (10.2-11.2) 13.9 (12.5-15.2) 17.5 (14.9-20.1)
Females 8.2 (7.2-9.3) 10.4 (9.7-11.1) 13.0 (12.5-13.5) 15.9 (14.7-17.2) 19.1 (17.0-21.7)
White, non-Hispanic 5.8 (4.8-7.0) 7.2 (6.5-7.9) 8.8 (8.3-9.3) 10.7 (9.4-12.1) 12.8 (10.3-15.4)
Black, non-Hispanic 6.7 (2.9-12.8) 10.3 (6.8-14.2) 15.6 (11.9-19.6) 22.3 (14.0-32.0) 29.2 (14.7-45.0)
Hispanic 7.1 (5.2-9.3) 10.8 (9.3-12.4) 15.9 (14.6-17.2) 22.1 (19.0-25.3) 28.8 (23.1-34.6)
Other, non-Hispanic 7.7 (6.7-8.8) 9.9 (9.2-10.5) 12.4 (11.9-12.9) 15.3 (14.1-16.4) 18.4 (16.1-20.6)
Income: Less than $20k 9.7 (8.0-11.6) 12.5 (11.4-13.7) 15.9 (14.9-16.8) 19.8 (17.7-21.9) 23.9 (20.0-27.9)
Income: $20k to $50k 6.6 (5.6-7.8) 9.3 (8.6-10.1) 12.9 (12.2-13.5) 17.2 (15.6-18.9) 22.1 (19.0-25.5)
Income: $50k or more 6.5 (5.3-7.8) 8.2 (7.4-9.0) 10.3 (9.8-10.8) 12.6 (11.3-14.0) 15.2 (12.6-17.9)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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