Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 24.0 (22.7-25.2) 30.1 (29.3-30.8) 37.0 (36.3-37.6) 44.4 (43.2-45.8) 51.9 (49.9-54.2)
Males 21.2 (19.5-22.8) 27.2 (26.2-28.1) 34.1 (33.2-35.0) 41.7 (39.9-43.6) 49.6 (46.6-52.7)
Females 26.8 (25.1-28.5) 32.9 (31.9-34.0) 39.9 (39.1-40.6) 47.2 (45.7-48.9) 54.5 (51.8-57.2)
White, non-Hispanic 21.1 (19.7-22.3) 26.9 (26.1-27.7) 33.9 (33.2-34.6) 41.7 (40.3-43.2) 49.7 (47.4-52.2)
Black, non-Hispanic 34.0 (31.2-36.9) 39.8 (38.3-41.3) 45.9 (44.8-47.0) 52.2 (49.7-54.7) 58.3 (54.2-62.2)
Hispanic 22.2 (15.8-29.6) 28.6 (24.0-33.3) 36.1 (33.4-38.6) 44.0 (38.6-49.3) 51.7 (41.9-61.1)
Other, non-Hispanic 18.1 (13.4-23.4) 21.6 (18.6-24.8) 25.9 (23.7-28.0) 30.7 (25.7-35.9) 35.7 (26.9-45.2)
Income: Less than $20k 30.0 (27.6-32.6) 36.5 (35.1-38.0) 43.6 (42.4-45.1) 51.0 (48.6-53.5) 58.1 (54.4-61.9)
Income: $20k to $50k 23.5 (21.8-25.3) 31.1 (30.0-32.2) 39.9 (39.0-40.9) 49.5 (47.6-51.6) 58.7 (56.0-62.0)
Income: $50k or more 19.9 (18.0-21.7) 26.0 (24.7-27.1) 33.4 (32.5-34.3) 41.7 (39.8-43.6) 50.3 (47.0-53.4)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 8.8 (8.0-9.7) 12.2 (11.7-12.8) 16.4 (15.9-16.9) 21.3 (20.1-22.5) 26.6 (24.3-28.8)
Males 6.1 (5.2-7.1) 8.8 (8.1-9.4) 12.2 (11.6-12.8) 16.4 (14.9-17.9) 21.2 (18.3-24.2)
Females 11.4 (10.3-12.7) 15.6 (14.8-16.4) 20.6 (19.9-21.2) 26.2 (24.8-27.8) 32.1 (29.6-34.7)
White, non-Hispanic 6.8 (6.1-7.6) 10.0 (9.5-10.6) 14.3 (13.8-14.8) 19.5 (18.1-20.7) 25.3 (22.8-27.6)
Black, non-Hispanic 15.0 (13.0-17.1) 18.6 (17.5-19.9) 22.8 (21.8-23.7) 27.2 (25.0-29.4) 31.6 (27.8-35.6)
Hispanic 8.5 (4.3-13.7) 10.8 (7.9-14.0) 13.6 (11.9-15.4) 16.8 (12.7-22.1) 20.1 (12.0-30.0)
Other, non-Hispanic 6.5 (3.7-10.1) 8.3 (6.3-10.5) 10.6 (9.2-12.0) 13.4 (9.9-17.2) 16.5 (10.0-24.0)
Income: Less than $20k 13.7 (11.8-15.6) 18.0 (16.9-19.1) 23.1 (22.0-24.1) 28.6 (26.2-31.0) 34.1 (30.3-38.0)
Income: $20k to $50k 8.2 (7.2-9.3) 12.4 (11.7-13.2) 17.9 (17.2-18.7) 24.4 (22.7-26.2) 31.2 (28.2-34.3)
Income: $50k or more 5.6 (4.7-6.7) 8.7 (7.9-9.4) 12.9 (12.3-13.6) 18.4 (16.7-20.1) 24.6 (21.3-27.9)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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