Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24.0 (22.7-25.2) | 30.1 (29.3-30.8) | 37.0 (36.3-37.6) | 44.4 (43.2-45.8) | 51.9 (49.9-54.2) |
| Males | 21.2 (19.5-22.8) | 27.2 (26.2-28.1) | 34.1 (33.2-35.0) | 41.7 (39.9-43.6) | 49.6 (46.6-52.7) |
| Females | 26.8 (25.1-28.5) | 32.9 (31.9-34.0) | 39.9 (39.1-40.6) | 47.2 (45.7-48.9) | 54.5 (51.8-57.2) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 21.1 (19.7-22.3) | 26.9 (26.1-27.7) | 33.9 (33.2-34.6) | 41.7 (40.3-43.2) | 49.7 (47.4-52.2) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 34.0 (31.2-36.9) | 39.8 (38.3-41.3) | 45.9 (44.8-47.0) | 52.2 (49.7-54.7) | 58.3 (54.2-62.2) |
| Hispanic | 22.2 (15.8-29.6) | 28.6 (24.0-33.3) | 36.1 (33.4-38.6) | 44.0 (38.6-49.3) | 51.7 (41.9-61.1) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 18.1 (13.4-23.4) | 21.6 (18.6-24.8) | 25.9 (23.7-28.0) | 30.7 (25.7-35.9) | 35.7 (26.9-45.2) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 30.0 (27.6-32.6) | 36.5 (35.1-38.0) | 43.6 (42.4-45.1) | 51.0 (48.6-53.5) | 58.1 (54.4-61.9) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 23.5 (21.8-25.3) | 31.1 (30.0-32.2) | 39.9 (39.0-40.9) | 49.5 (47.6-51.6) | 58.7 (56.0-62.0) |
| Income: $50k or more | 19.9 (18.0-21.7) | 26.0 (24.7-27.1) | 33.4 (32.5-34.3) | 41.7 (39.8-43.6) | 50.3 (47.0-53.4) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8.8 (8.0-9.7) | 12.2 (11.7-12.8) | 16.4 (15.9-16.9) | 21.3 (20.1-22.5) | 26.6 (24.3-28.8) |
| Males | 6.1 (5.2-7.1) | 8.8 (8.1-9.4) | 12.2 (11.6-12.8) | 16.4 (14.9-17.9) | 21.2 (18.3-24.2) |
| Females | 11.4 (10.3-12.7) | 15.6 (14.8-16.4) | 20.6 (19.9-21.2) | 26.2 (24.8-27.8) | 32.1 (29.6-34.7) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 6.8 (6.1-7.6) | 10.0 (9.5-10.6) | 14.3 (13.8-14.8) | 19.5 (18.1-20.7) | 25.3 (22.8-27.6) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 15.0 (13.0-17.1) | 18.6 (17.5-19.9) | 22.8 (21.8-23.7) | 27.2 (25.0-29.4) | 31.6 (27.8-35.6) |
| Hispanic | 8.5 (4.3-13.7) | 10.8 (7.9-14.0) | 13.6 (11.9-15.4) | 16.8 (12.7-22.1) | 20.1 (12.0-30.0) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 6.5 (3.7-10.1) | 8.3 (6.3-10.5) | 10.6 (9.2-12.0) | 13.4 (9.9-17.2) | 16.5 (10.0-24.0) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 13.7 (11.8-15.6) | 18.0 (16.9-19.1) | 23.1 (22.0-24.1) | 28.6 (26.2-31.0) | 34.1 (30.3-38.0) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 8.2 (7.2-9.3) | 12.4 (11.7-13.2) | 17.9 (17.2-18.7) | 24.4 (22.7-26.2) | 31.2 (28.2-34.3) |
| Income: $50k or more | 5.6 (4.7-6.7) | 8.7 (7.9-9.4) | 12.9 (12.3-13.6) | 18.4 (16.7-20.1) | 24.6 (21.3-27.9) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301