Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 21.8 (20.7-22.9) 27.2 (26.5-28.0) 33.4 (32.9-34.0) 40.1 (39.0-41.2) 47.0 (45.0-48.9)
Males 19.4 (18.2-20.8) 25.3 (24.5-26.2) 32.3 (31.6-33.0) 40.0 (38.5-41.3) 47.9 (45.5-50.2)
Females 24.2 (22.6-25.7) 29.1 (28.1-30.0) 34.5 (33.9-35.2) 40.4 (39.0-41.9) 46.3 (43.9-48.8)
White, non-Hispanic 20.2 (19.1-21.3) 25.4 (24.7-26.1) 31.5 (30.9-32.0) 38.2 (37.0-39.3) 45.1 (43.1-47.1)
Black, non-Hispanic 35.7 (32.0-39.1) 39.9 (37.9-41.9) 44.3 (43.0-45.8) 48.8 (46.1-51.7) 53.2 (48.7-58.0)
Hispanic 23.8 (21.6-26.3) 29.1 (27.7-30.6) 35.0 (33.8-36.1) 41.2 (38.8-43.5) 47.5 (43.6-51.2)
Other, non-Hispanic 17.8 (13.6-22.3) 20.8 (18.1-23.4) 24.4 (22.7-26.1) 28.5 (24.8-32.5) 33.1 (26.2-40.3)
Income: Less than $20k 26.6 (24.6-28.6) 32.4 (31.3-33.6) 38.9 (37.8-39.9) 45.8 (43.6-47.9) 52.6 (49.1-55.8)
Income: $20k to $50k 21.2 (19.7-22.5) 27.5 (26.5-28.4) 34.8 (34.0-35.6) 42.8 (41.2-44.3) 50.8 (48.4-53.4)
Income: $50k or more 19.2 (17.5-21.0) 24.7 (23.7-25.8) 31.2 (30.4-32.0) 38.4 (36.8-40.1) 46.0 (43.0-48.8)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 7.8 (7.2-8.5) 10.4 (10.0-10.9) 13.6 (13.2-14.0) 17.3 (16.4-18.3) 21.3 (19.7-23.1)
Males 5.6 (4.9-6.4) 7.9 (7.4-8.5) 11.0 (10.5-11.5) 14.7 (13.6-15.8) 19.0 (16.7-21.1)
Females 10.0 (9.0-11.0) 12.8 (12.2-13.5) 16.2 (15.7-16.7) 20.0 (18.8-21.2) 24.0 (22.0-26.3)
White, non-Hispanic 6.7 (6.1-7.3) 9.2 (8.8-9.6) 12.4 (11.9-12.8) 16.2 (15.2-17.1) 20.4 (18.6-22.2)
Black, non-Hispanic 16.8 (14.2-19.4) 19.2 (17.7-20.6) 21.7 (20.6-22.8) 24.3 (22.0-26.7) 26.9 (22.9-31.1)
Hispanic 9.2 (7.7-10.8) 11.3 (10.3-12.3) 13.6 (12.8-14.4) 16.1 (14.4-17.9) 18.6 (15.7-21.9)
Other, non-Hispanic 5.6 (3.5-8.3) 7.2 (5.7-8.9) 9.3 (8.3-10.4) 11.9 (9.3-15.1) 15.1 (9.8-21.5)
Income: Less than $20k 11.0 (9.7-12.4) 14.5 (13.6-15.4) 18.6 (17.9-19.5) 23.3 (21.6-25.0) 28.2 (25.3-31.1)
Income: $20k to $50k 7.4 (6.7-8.3) 10.6 (10.0-11.2) 14.6 (14.1-15.2) 19.4 (18.1-20.8) 24.6 (22.1-27.1)
Income: $50k or more 5.5 (4.7-6.5) 7.9 (7.3-8.5) 11.0 (10.5-11.5) 14.8 (13.5-16.1) 19.3 (16.7-21.8)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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