Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21.8 (20.7-22.9) | 27.2 (26.5-28.0) | 33.4 (32.9-34.0) | 40.1 (39.0-41.2) | 47.0 (45.0-48.9) |
| Males | 19.4 (18.2-20.8) | 25.3 (24.5-26.2) | 32.3 (31.6-33.0) | 40.0 (38.5-41.3) | 47.9 (45.5-50.2) |
| Females | 24.2 (22.6-25.7) | 29.1 (28.1-30.0) | 34.5 (33.9-35.2) | 40.4 (39.0-41.9) | 46.3 (43.9-48.8) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 20.2 (19.1-21.3) | 25.4 (24.7-26.1) | 31.5 (30.9-32.0) | 38.2 (37.0-39.3) | 45.1 (43.1-47.1) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 35.7 (32.0-39.1) | 39.9 (37.9-41.9) | 44.3 (43.0-45.8) | 48.8 (46.1-51.7) | 53.2 (48.7-58.0) |
| Hispanic | 23.8 (21.6-26.3) | 29.1 (27.7-30.6) | 35.0 (33.8-36.1) | 41.2 (38.8-43.5) | 47.5 (43.6-51.2) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 17.8 (13.6-22.3) | 20.8 (18.1-23.4) | 24.4 (22.7-26.1) | 28.5 (24.8-32.5) | 33.1 (26.2-40.3) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 26.6 (24.6-28.6) | 32.4 (31.3-33.6) | 38.9 (37.8-39.9) | 45.8 (43.6-47.9) | 52.6 (49.1-55.8) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 21.2 (19.7-22.5) | 27.5 (26.5-28.4) | 34.8 (34.0-35.6) | 42.8 (41.2-44.3) | 50.8 (48.4-53.4) |
| Income: $50k or more | 19.2 (17.5-21.0) | 24.7 (23.7-25.8) | 31.2 (30.4-32.0) | 38.4 (36.8-40.1) | 46.0 (43.0-48.8) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7.8 (7.2-8.5) | 10.4 (10.0-10.9) | 13.6 (13.2-14.0) | 17.3 (16.4-18.3) | 21.3 (19.7-23.1) |
| Males | 5.6 (4.9-6.4) | 7.9 (7.4-8.5) | 11.0 (10.5-11.5) | 14.7 (13.6-15.8) | 19.0 (16.7-21.1) |
| Females | 10.0 (9.0-11.0) | 12.8 (12.2-13.5) | 16.2 (15.7-16.7) | 20.0 (18.8-21.2) | 24.0 (22.0-26.3) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 6.7 (6.1-7.3) | 9.2 (8.8-9.6) | 12.4 (11.9-12.8) | 16.2 (15.2-17.1) | 20.4 (18.6-22.2) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 16.8 (14.2-19.4) | 19.2 (17.7-20.6) | 21.7 (20.6-22.8) | 24.3 (22.0-26.7) | 26.9 (22.9-31.1) |
| Hispanic | 9.2 (7.7-10.8) | 11.3 (10.3-12.3) | 13.6 (12.8-14.4) | 16.1 (14.4-17.9) | 18.6 (15.7-21.9) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 5.6 (3.5-8.3) | 7.2 (5.7-8.9) | 9.3 (8.3-10.4) | 11.9 (9.3-15.1) | 15.1 (9.8-21.5) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 11.0 (9.7-12.4) | 14.5 (13.6-15.4) | 18.6 (17.9-19.5) | 23.3 (21.6-25.0) | 28.2 (25.3-31.1) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 7.4 (6.7-8.3) | 10.6 (10.0-11.2) | 14.6 (14.1-15.2) | 19.4 (18.1-20.8) | 24.6 (22.1-27.1) |
| Income: $50k or more | 5.5 (4.7-6.5) | 7.9 (7.3-8.5) | 11.0 (10.5-11.5) | 14.8 (13.5-16.1) | 19.3 (16.7-21.8) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301