Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 21.8 (20.4-23.1) 28.4 (27.5-29.3) 36.3 (35.6-37.0) 44.8 (43.4-46.3) 53.2 (51.0-55.7)
Males 20.0 (18.1-21.9) 26.5 (25.3-27.7) 34.3 (33.3-35.3) 42.8 (40.7-45.0) 51.4 (48.2-55.0)
Females 23.6 (21.7-25.4) 30.3 (29.2-31.4) 38.2 (37.3-39.1) 46.7 (44.8-48.7) 55.0 (51.9-58.1)
White, non-Hispanic 19.6 (18.3-21.0) 26.5 (25.6-27.3) 34.8 (34.0-35.5) 43.9 (42.3-45.6) 53.1 (50.6-55.8)
Black, non-Hispanic 37.9 (33.9-42.0) 42.1 (39.9-44.2) 46.6 (45.0-48.3) 51.1 (47.8-54.5) 55.5 (50.0-61.2)
Hispanic 17.6 (12.1-24.0) 25.6 (21.4-30.3) 36.1 (33.3-38.9) 47.9 (41.9-53.5) 58.9 (48.7-67.7)
Other, non-Hispanic 21.0 (15.3-27.7) 22.9 (19.6-26.5) 25.1 (22.9-27.2) 27.6 (22.4-33.0) 30.3 (21.4-40.4)
Income: Less than $20k 27.2 (24.3-30.3) 34.0 (32.2-35.8) 41.6 (40.0-43.2) 49.4 (46.3-52.6) 56.8 (51.9-61.7)
Income: $20k to $50k 22.9 (21.0-25.0) 30.6 (29.3-32.0) 40.0 (38.9-41.0) 50.2 (48.0-52.5) 60.0 (56.7-63.3)
Income: $50k or more 19.2 (17.2-21.2) 26.1 (24.7-27.4) 34.3 (33.3-35.3) 43.4 (41.2-45.9) 52.6 (49.0-56.5)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 7.5 (6.7-8.3) 11.0 (10.4-11.6) 15.6 (15.1-16.2) 21.1 (19.8-22.5) 27.1 (24.8-29.6)
Males 5.6 (4.7-6.5) 8.4 (7.7-9.1) 12.2 (11.5-13.0) 16.9 (15.2-18.7) 22.2 (19.0-25.6)
Females 9.3 (8.2-10.5) 13.5 (12.8-14.4) 18.9 (18.2-19.7) 25.2 (23.5-27.0) 31.7 (28.7-34.8)
White, non-Hispanic 6.2 (5.5-7.0) 9.6 (9.0-10.2) 14.3 (13.7-14.8) 20.1 (18.7-21.5) 26.5 (23.9-29.2)
Black, non-Hispanic 16.8 (14.0-19.7) 20.0 (18.3-21.8) 23.5 (22.1-24.9) 27.2 (24.2-30.3) 31.1 (26.1-36.2)
Hispanic 5.4 (2.6-9.1) 9.0 (6.2-12.0) 14.4 (12.3-16.5) 21.4 (16.4-26.9) 28.8 (19.3-39.1)
Other, non-Hispanic 9.5 (5.6-14.7) 9.7 (7.5-12.3) 9.9 (8.6-11.3) 10.2 (7.2-13.6) 10.6 (5.8-17.3)
Income: Less than $20k 12.1 (10.0-14.4) 16.4 (15.0-17.8) 21.6 (20.3-23.0) 27.3 (24.3-30.4) 33.0 (27.8-37.8)
Income: $20k to $50k 7.1 (6.0-8.3) 11.8 (11.0-12.7) 18.6 (17.7-19.5) 26.8 (24.7-29.0) 35.3 (31.7-39.0)
Income: $50k or more 6.2 (5.0-7.5) 9.2 (8.4-10.1) 13.2 (12.5-13.8) 17.9 (16.2-19.7) 23.2 (19.8-26.8)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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