Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 18.8 (17.6-20.0) 24.4 (23.6-25.1) 31.1 (30.5-31.6) 38.6 (37.4-39.9) 46.6 (44.4-48.9)
Males 18.2 (16.7-19.9) 23.7 (22.7-24.7) 30.5 (29.7-31.2) 38.2 (36.5-40.0) 46.5 (43.5-49.4)
Females 19.5 (18.0-20.9) 25.0 (24.1-25.9) 31.6 (31.0-32.3) 39.1 (37.6-40.7) 46.9 (44.3-49.6)
White, non-Hispanic 18.4 (17.1-19.6) 23.5 (22.7-24.3) 29.7 (29.1-30.3) 36.7 (35.3-38.1) 44.2 (41.7-46.6)
Black, non-Hispanic 32.8 (28.1-38.0) 38.5 (35.6-41.4) 44.5 (42.7-46.2) 50.6 (46.7-54.1) 56.6 (50.0-62.1)
Hispanic 22.1 (18.4-26.2) 29.1 (26.7-31.5) 37.4 (35.8-38.9) 46.5 (43.0-49.8) 55.3 (49.1-60.8)
Other, non-Hispanic 11.5 (8.1-15.3) 15.5 (13.0-18.1) 20.9 (19.2-22.6) 27.3 (23.5-31.5) 34.1 (27.1-42.1)
Income: Less than $20k 25.2 (22.1-28.6) 31.8 (29.9-33.9) 39.5 (38.2-40.9) 47.8 (44.8-50.8) 55.9 (51.1-60.8)
Income: $20k to $50k 21.5 (19.4-23.6) 27.5 (26.3-28.7) 34.7 (33.8-35.7) 42.7 (40.6-44.9) 50.9 (47.2-54.6)
Income: $50k or more 15.7 (14.2-17.1) 21.4 (20.4-22.4) 28.7 (28.0-29.4) 37.3 (35.6-38.9) 46.4 (43.5-49.3)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 5.7 (5.1-6.4) 8.5 (8.1-9.0) 12.3 (11.9-12.7) 17.1 (16.0-18.1) 22.5 (20.6-24.6)
Males 4.3 (3.6-5.1) 6.7 (6.1-7.3) 10.1 (9.6-10.5) 14.5 (13.2-15.8) 19.8 (17.2-22.7)
Females 7.1 (6.3-8.0) 10.3 (9.7-11.0) 14.5 (14.0-15.1) 19.6 (18.3-21.0) 25.3 (22.9-27.9)
White, non-Hispanic 5.5 (4.8-6.1) 8.0 (7.5-8.4) 11.3 (10.9-11.7) 15.5 (14.5-16.6) 20.5 (18.5-22.8)
Black, non-Hispanic 13.9 (11.0-17.2) 17.3 (15.3-19.3) 21.1 (19.8-22.6) 25.2 (22.2-28.3) 29.4 (23.9-34.7)
Hispanic 7.1 (5.1-9.2) 10.8 (9.3-12.4) 16.0 (14.8-17.1) 22.2 (19.2-25.2) 28.8 (23.3-34.4)
Other, non-Hispanic 3.8 (2.3-5.7) 5.6 (4.3-7.1) 8.1 (7.1-9.2) 11.5 (9.2-14.2) 15.4 (10.7-21.2)
Income: Less than $20k 9.6 (7.6-11.7) 13.8 (12.5-15.3) 19.2 (18.2-20.3) 25.5 (22.7-28.3) 32.0 (27.2-37.1)
Income: $20k to $50k 6.7 (5.7-7.8) 10.1 (9.4-10.9) 14.8 (14.1-15.5) 20.6 (18.8-22.3) 27.0 (23.8-30.2)
Income: $50k or more 4.1 (3.5-4.8) 6.5 (6.0-7.1) 10.1 (9.7-10.5) 14.9 (13.7-16.2) 20.7 (18.2-23.5)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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