Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18.8 (17.6-20.0) | 24.4 (23.6-25.1) | 31.1 (30.5-31.6) | 38.6 (37.4-39.9) | 46.6 (44.4-48.9) |
| Males | 18.2 (16.7-19.9) | 23.7 (22.7-24.7) | 30.5 (29.7-31.2) | 38.2 (36.5-40.0) | 46.5 (43.5-49.4) |
| Females | 19.5 (18.0-20.9) | 25.0 (24.1-25.9) | 31.6 (31.0-32.3) | 39.1 (37.6-40.7) | 46.9 (44.3-49.6) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 18.4 (17.1-19.6) | 23.5 (22.7-24.3) | 29.7 (29.1-30.3) | 36.7 (35.3-38.1) | 44.2 (41.7-46.6) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 32.8 (28.1-38.0) | 38.5 (35.6-41.4) | 44.5 (42.7-46.2) | 50.6 (46.7-54.1) | 56.6 (50.0-62.1) |
| Hispanic | 22.1 (18.4-26.2) | 29.1 (26.7-31.5) | 37.4 (35.8-38.9) | 46.5 (43.0-49.8) | 55.3 (49.1-60.8) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 11.5 (8.1-15.3) | 15.5 (13.0-18.1) | 20.9 (19.2-22.6) | 27.3 (23.5-31.5) | 34.1 (27.1-42.1) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 25.2 (22.1-28.6) | 31.8 (29.9-33.9) | 39.5 (38.2-40.9) | 47.8 (44.8-50.8) | 55.9 (51.1-60.8) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 21.5 (19.4-23.6) | 27.5 (26.3-28.7) | 34.7 (33.8-35.7) | 42.7 (40.6-44.9) | 50.9 (47.2-54.6) |
| Income: $50k or more | 15.7 (14.2-17.1) | 21.4 (20.4-22.4) | 28.7 (28.0-29.4) | 37.3 (35.6-38.9) | 46.4 (43.5-49.3) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5.7 (5.1-6.4) | 8.5 (8.1-9.0) | 12.3 (11.9-12.7) | 17.1 (16.0-18.1) | 22.5 (20.6-24.6) |
| Males | 4.3 (3.6-5.1) | 6.7 (6.1-7.3) | 10.1 (9.6-10.5) | 14.5 (13.2-15.8) | 19.8 (17.2-22.7) |
| Females | 7.1 (6.3-8.0) | 10.3 (9.7-11.0) | 14.5 (14.0-15.1) | 19.6 (18.3-21.0) | 25.3 (22.9-27.9) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 5.5 (4.8-6.1) | 8.0 (7.5-8.4) | 11.3 (10.9-11.7) | 15.5 (14.5-16.6) | 20.5 (18.5-22.8) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 13.9 (11.0-17.2) | 17.3 (15.3-19.3) | 21.1 (19.8-22.6) | 25.2 (22.2-28.3) | 29.4 (23.9-34.7) |
| Hispanic | 7.1 (5.1-9.2) | 10.8 (9.3-12.4) | 16.0 (14.8-17.1) | 22.2 (19.2-25.2) | 28.8 (23.3-34.4) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 3.8 (2.3-5.7) | 5.6 (4.3-7.1) | 8.1 (7.1-9.2) | 11.5 (9.2-14.2) | 15.4 (10.7-21.2) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 9.6 (7.6-11.7) | 13.8 (12.5-15.3) | 19.2 (18.2-20.3) | 25.5 (22.7-28.3) | 32.0 (27.2-37.1) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 6.7 (5.7-7.8) | 10.1 (9.4-10.9) | 14.8 (14.1-15.5) | 20.6 (18.8-22.3) | 27.0 (23.8-30.2) |
| Income: $50k or more | 4.1 (3.5-4.8) | 6.5 (6.0-7.1) | 10.1 (9.7-10.5) | 14.9 (13.7-16.2) | 20.7 (18.2-23.5) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301