Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 17.9 (16.7-19.0) 22.0 (21.3-22.7) 26.9 (26.4-27.4) 32.3 (31.3-33.5) 38.2 (36.3-40.3)
Males 16.4 (14.9-17.9) 20.6 (19.6-21.5) 25.6 (24.9-26.2) 31.3 (29.8-32.7) 37.5 (34.8-40.0)
Females 19.4 (17.9-21.0) 23.5 (22.6-24.5) 28.2 (27.7-28.8) 33.6 (32.2-35.0) 39.2 (36.7-42.0)
White, non-Hispanic 16.4 (15.2-17.5) 20.3 (19.6-21.0) 24.9 (24.4-25.4) 30.2 (29.1-31.5) 36.0 (33.8-38.3)
Black, non-Hispanic 29.6 (22.7-36.6) 32.3 (28.5-36.1) 35.3 (33.0-37.4) 38.3 (33.4-43.3) 41.2 (32.7-50.2)
Hispanic 25.6 (22.3-28.8) 29.9 (27.9-31.8) 34.8 (33.7-35.9) 39.9 (37.4-42.2) 45.1 (40.5-49.4)
Other, non-Hispanic 18.7 (14.2-23.5) 20.9 (18.4-23.7) 23.7 (22.2-25.3) 26.9 (23.5-30.4) 30.6 (24.4-37.3)
Income: Less than $20k 21.8 (19.4-24.3) 26.5 (25.0-27.9) 31.9 (30.8-33.0) 37.8 (35.6-40.3) 44.0 (40.0-48.1)
Income: $20k to $50k 18.6 (16.9-20.3) 23.5 (22.4-24.6) 29.3 (28.6-30.0) 35.9 (34.2-37.6) 42.8 (39.7-46.0)
Income: $50k or more 14.8 (13.3-16.4) 19.3 (18.3-20.4) 25.0 (24.4-25.6) 31.8 (30.4-33.4) 39.5 (36.6-42.5)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 5.5 (4.9-6.1) 7.5 (7.0-7.9) 10.0 (9.7-10.3) 13.2 (12.3-14.0) 16.8 (15.2-18.6)
Males 3.8 (3.1-4.5) 5.4 (4.9-5.9) 7.7 (7.3-8.1) 10.6 (9.7-11.7) 14.3 (12.1-16.6)
Females 7.3 (6.3-8.3) 9.6 (9.0-10.3) 12.5 (12.1-13.0) 15.9 (14.8-17.1) 19.8 (17.6-22.2)
White, non-Hispanic 5.0 (4.3-5.6) 6.8 (6.3-7.2) 9.1 (8.7-9.4) 11.9 (11.0-12.8) 15.2 (13.5-17.1)
Black, non-Hispanic 12.7 (7.8-18.7) 13.9 (10.8-17.2) 15.2 (13.7-16.9) 16.7 (12.9-21.0) 18.1 (11.4-26.3)
Hispanic 7.6 (5.9-9.6) 10.2 (9.0-11.5) 13.5 (12.8-14.3) 17.5 (15.6-19.5) 21.8 (17.8-25.8)
Other, non-Hispanic 5.8 (3.6-8.8) 7.4 (5.7-9.2) 9.4 (8.3-10.4) 11.8 (9.3-14.7) 14.8 (9.8-20.8)
Income: Less than $20k 8.1 (6.7-9.7) 10.9 (10.0-11.9) 14.5 (13.7-15.3) 18.6 (16.8-20.5) 23.2 (19.8-26.8)
Income: $20k to $50k 5.9 (4.9-6.8) 8.3 (7.5-8.9) 11.4 (10.9-11.9) 15.2 (13.9-16.6) 19.6 (16.9-22.5)
Income: $50k or more 3.5 (2.9-4.3) 5.5 (4.9-6.1) 8.3 (8.0-8.7) 12.2 (11.1-13.4) 17.2 (14.7-19.7)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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