Obesity Prevalence
Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 23.5 (22.5-24.5) | 27.5 (26.8-28.2) | 31.9 (31.4-32.4) | 36.6 (35.7-37.6) | 41.5 (39.9-43.3) |
Males | 20.7 (19.4-22.1) | 25.0 (24.2-25.9) | 30.0 (29.3-30.6) | 35.4 (34.0-36.7) | 41.1 (39.0-43.4) |
Females | 26.4 (25.0-27.9) | 30.0 (29.2-30.9) | 33.9 (33.3-34.5) | 38.0 (36.7-39.2) | 42.1 (40.0-44.3) |
White, non-Hispanic | 20.7 (19.5-21.8) | 24.7 (24.0-25.4) | 29.2 (28.6-29.7) | 34.0 (32.9-35.2) | 39.1 (37.2-41.0) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 38.1 (33.3-43.1) | 40.1 (37.5-42.8) | 42.4 (40.7-44.1) | 45.0 (41.6-48.4) | 47.8 (42.0-53.3) |
Hispanic | 29.5 (27.3-31.6) | 34.5 (33.2-35.7) | 39.9 (39.1-40.7) | 45.4 (43.8-47.1) | 51.0 (48.2-53.8) |
Other, non-Hispanic | 14.7 (12.3-17.5) | 16.3 (14.8-17.9) | 18.1 (17.2-19.0) | 20.1 (18.1-22.1) | 22.3 (18.8-26.2) |
Income: Less than $20k | 27.0 (25.0-28.9) | 32.1 (31.0-33.3) | 37.8 (36.9-38.7) | 43.7 (41.9-45.4) | 49.7 (46.8-52.4) |
Income: $20k to $50k | 23.9 (22.3-25.4) | 29.0 (28.1-29.9) | 34.7 (34.0-35.5) | 40.8 (39.3-42.4) | 47.0 (44.5-49.6) |
Income: $50k or more | 20.1 (18.7-21.6) | 23.9 (23.0-24.9) | 28.1 (27.5-28.7) | 32.7 (31.4-34.0) | 37.7 (35.4-40.0) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 8.5 (7.8-9.2) | 10.5 (10.1-10.9) | 12.8 (12.5-13.2) | 15.4 (14.6-16.3) | 18.3 (16.8-19.8) |
Males | 5.7 (5.0-6.4) | 7.6 (7.1-8.0) | 9.9 (9.5-10.3) | 12.8 (11.7-13.7) | 16.1 (14.1-18.1) |
Females | 11.5 (10.5-12.5) | 13.5 (12.9-14.2) | 15.8 (15.3-16.3) | 18.3 (17.2-19.3) | 20.9 (19.0-22.8) |
White, non-Hispanic | 7.6 (6.9-8.3) | 9.4 (9.0-9.8) | 11.5 (11.1-11.9) | 13.9 (13.0-14.8) | 16.4 (14.9-18.2) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 14.4 (11.5-17.7) | 17.5 (15.7-19.5) | 20.9 (19.6-22.3) | 24.7 (21.9-27.7) | 28.8 (23.6-34.0) |
Hispanic | 10.4 (9.0-11.8) | 13.1 (12.1-14.0) | 16.2 (15.5-16.8) | 19.6 (18.1-21.0) | 23.2 (20.6-25.9) |
Other, non-Hispanic | 4.5 (3.3-5.8) | 5.2 (4.5-6.0) | 6.1 (5.6-6.7) | 7.2 (6.0-8.6) | 8.4 (6.1-11.2) |
Income: Less than $20k | 10.7 (9.4-12.1) | 13.6 (12.7-14.5) | 17.0 (16.3-17.6) | 20.7 (19.2-22.2) | 24.6 (22.0-27.5) |
Income: $20k to $50k | 8.7 (7.7-9.6) | 11.2 (10.6-11.9) | 14.3 (13.7-14.8) | 17.8 (16.5-19.1) | 21.5 (19.3-23.8) |
Income: $50k or more | 6.4 (5.6-7.3) | 8.1 (7.5-8.6) | 10.1 (9.7-10.5) | 12.4 (11.5-13.4) | 15.1 (13.4-17.0) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301