Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 23.5 (22.5-24.5) 27.5 (26.8-28.2) 31.9 (31.4-32.4) 36.6 (35.7-37.6) 41.5 (39.9-43.3)
Males 20.7 (19.4-22.1) 25.0 (24.2-25.9) 30.0 (29.3-30.6) 35.4 (34.0-36.7) 41.1 (39.0-43.4)
Females 26.4 (25.0-27.9) 30.0 (29.2-30.9) 33.9 (33.3-34.5) 38.0 (36.7-39.2) 42.1 (40.0-44.3)
White, non-Hispanic 20.7 (19.5-21.8) 24.7 (24.0-25.4) 29.2 (28.6-29.7) 34.0 (32.9-35.2) 39.1 (37.2-41.0)
Black, non-Hispanic 38.1 (33.3-43.1) 40.1 (37.5-42.8) 42.4 (40.7-44.1) 45.0 (41.6-48.4) 47.8 (42.0-53.3)
Hispanic 29.5 (27.3-31.6) 34.5 (33.2-35.7) 39.9 (39.1-40.7) 45.4 (43.8-47.1) 51.0 (48.2-53.8)
Other, non-Hispanic 14.7 (12.3-17.5) 16.3 (14.8-17.9) 18.1 (17.2-19.0) 20.1 (18.1-22.1) 22.3 (18.8-26.2)
Income: Less than $20k 27.0 (25.0-28.9) 32.1 (31.0-33.3) 37.8 (36.9-38.7) 43.7 (41.9-45.4) 49.7 (46.8-52.4)
Income: $20k to $50k 23.9 (22.3-25.4) 29.0 (28.1-29.9) 34.7 (34.0-35.5) 40.8 (39.3-42.4) 47.0 (44.5-49.6)
Income: $50k or more 20.1 (18.7-21.6) 23.9 (23.0-24.9) 28.1 (27.5-28.7) 32.7 (31.4-34.0) 37.7 (35.4-40.0)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 8.5 (7.8-9.2) 10.5 (10.1-10.9) 12.8 (12.5-13.2) 15.4 (14.6-16.3) 18.3 (16.8-19.8)
Males 5.7 (5.0-6.4) 7.6 (7.1-8.0) 9.9 (9.5-10.3) 12.8 (11.7-13.7) 16.1 (14.1-18.1)
Females 11.5 (10.5-12.5) 13.5 (12.9-14.2) 15.8 (15.3-16.3) 18.3 (17.2-19.3) 20.9 (19.0-22.8)
White, non-Hispanic 7.6 (6.9-8.3) 9.4 (9.0-9.8) 11.5 (11.1-11.9) 13.9 (13.0-14.8) 16.4 (14.9-18.2)
Black, non-Hispanic 14.4 (11.5-17.7) 17.5 (15.7-19.5) 20.9 (19.6-22.3) 24.7 (21.9-27.7) 28.8 (23.6-34.0)
Hispanic 10.4 (9.0-11.8) 13.1 (12.1-14.0) 16.2 (15.5-16.8) 19.6 (18.1-21.0) 23.2 (20.6-25.9)
Other, non-Hispanic 4.5 (3.3-5.8) 5.2 (4.5-6.0) 6.1 (5.6-6.7) 7.2 (6.0-8.6) 8.4 (6.1-11.2)
Income: Less than $20k 10.7 (9.4-12.1) 13.6 (12.7-14.5) 17.0 (16.3-17.6) 20.7 (19.2-22.2) 24.6 (22.0-27.5)
Income: $20k to $50k 8.7 (7.7-9.6) 11.2 (10.6-11.9) 14.3 (13.7-14.8) 17.8 (16.5-19.1) 21.5 (19.3-23.8)
Income: $50k or more 6.4 (5.6-7.3) 8.1 (7.5-8.6) 10.1 (9.7-10.5) 12.4 (11.5-13.4) 15.1 (13.4-17.0)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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