Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 23.9 (22.6-25.2) 31.2 (30.4-32.0) 39.8 (39.1-40.5) 49.1 (47.6-50.6) 58.2 (55.7-60.4)
Males 22.4 (20.6-24.2) 29.3 (28.2-30.4) 37.8 (36.8-38.9) 47.3 (45.0-49.3) 56.7 (53.2-59.9)
Females 25.4 (23.8-27.1) 33.0 (32.0-34.1) 41.9 (41.0-42.7) 51.1 (49.2-53.0) 59.9 (57.0-62.8)
White, non-Hispanic 22.6 (21.3-24.0) 29.8 (29.0-30.7) 38.4 (37.7-39.2) 47.9 (46.3-49.5) 57.1 (54.6-59.4)
Black, non-Hispanic 36.0 (31.9-40.2) 43.1 (40.9-45.5) 50.7 (48.8-52.6) 58.2 (54.4-61.7) 65.1 (59.3-70.2)
Hispanic 21.3 (14.7-29.3) 29.5 (25.1-34.1) 39.5 (36.1-42.9) 50.1 (42.2-58.3) 59.7 (47.0-71.5)
Other, non-Hispanic 25.0 (18.6-32.6) 30.4 (26.8-34.3) 36.6 (33.6-39.3) 43.3 (36.3-49.8) 49.9 (37.5-60.7)
Income: Less than $20k 28.9 (26.5-31.6) 35.9 (34.6-37.3) 43.7 (42.3-45.2) 51.8 (48.8-54.6) 59.6 (55.2-63.6)
Income: $20k to $50k 23.6 (21.7-25.8) 31.6 (30.5-32.8) 41.3 (40.2-42.5) 51.8 (49.4-54.2) 61.5 (58.0-65.0)
Income: $50k or more 19.8 (17.5-22.1) 27.7 (26.1-29.2) 37.5 (36.5-38.7) 48.4 (45.9-51.0) 58.8 (54.7-62.7)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 8.4 (7.6-9.3) 12.8 (12.2-13.4) 18.6 (18.0-19.2) 25.4 (24.0-26.9) 32.6 (30.1-35.1)
Males 5.9 (5.1-6.9) 9.7 (9.0-10.5) 15.1 (14.3-15.9) 22.0 (20.1-23.9) 29.6 (26.2-33.1)
Females 10.9 (9.7-12.2) 15.9 (15.1-16.7) 22.1 (21.4-22.9) 29.1 (27.3-30.9) 36.1 (33.0-39.1)
White, non-Hispanic 7.5 (6.8-8.4) 11.8 (11.2-12.4) 17.5 (16.9-18.1) 24.5 (23.0-26.0) 32.0 (29.3-34.5)
Black, non-Hispanic 16.6 (13.7-19.7) 21.7 (19.9-23.6) 27.4 (25.8-29.1) 33.4 (29.7-37.1) 39.2 (33.1-45.2)
Hispanic 8.4 (4.5-13.5) 12.0 (8.8-15.2) 16.6 (14.2-19.1) 21.9 (16.0-28.9) 27.1 (16.7-39.1)
Other, non-Hispanic 10.0 (6.0-14.7) 12.9 (10.2-15.8) 16.5 (14.4-18.7) 20.6 (15.2-26.6) 24.8 (15.6-36.0)
Income: Less than $20k 13.1 (11.3-14.9) 17.8 (16.7-18.9) 23.3 (22.0-24.6) 29.4 (26.6-32.1) 35.6 (31.1-39.8)
Income: $20k to $50k 7.7 (6.6-8.9) 12.7 (11.9-13.5) 19.6 (18.6-20.5) 27.9 (25.8-30.1) 36.4 (32.9-40.0)
Income: $50k or more 5.8 (4.6-7.0) 9.5 (8.6-10.5) 14.9 (14.1-15.7) 21.8 (19.5-24.0) 29.1 (24.9-33.3)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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