Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 18.8 (17.4-20.3) 25.4 (24.5-26.4) 33.4 (32.8-34.2) 42.4 (40.9-43.8) 51.4 (48.9-53.9)
Males 18.6 (16.6-20.9) 24.8 (23.4-26.2) 32.3 (31.3-33.4) 40.7 (38.5-42.8) 49.3 (45.7-53.0)
Females 19.1 (17.4-20.9) 26.1 (24.9-27.3) 34.6 (33.7-35.5) 44.1 (42.2-46.0) 53.6 (50.5-56.6)
White, non-Hispanic 17.8 (16.3-19.4) 23.6 (22.6-24.7) 30.6 (29.8-31.4) 38.3 (36.7-39.8) 46.2 (43.4-48.8)
Black, non-Hispanic 18.4 (12.2-26.0) 27.6 (22.7-33.2) 39.5 (36.0-43.3) 52.6 (45.5-59.4) 64.4 (53.6-73.5)
Hispanic 24.3 (20.2-28.6) 31.9 (29.4-34.6) 41.0 (39.4-42.6) 50.8 (47.6-53.9) 60.3 (55.2-65.0)
Other, non-Hispanic 25.4 (19.6-31.8) 29.2 (25.4-32.8) 33.6 (31.6-35.7) 38.5 (34.0-43.2) 43.8 (35.4-51.9)
Income: Less than $20k 21.0 (18.0-24.3) 29.3 (27.4-31.5) 39.3 (37.7-41.0) 49.9 (47.0-53.0) 59.7 (55.2-64.3)
Income: $20k to $50k 18.2 (16.1-20.5) 25.8 (24.4-27.3) 35.2 (34.1-36.3) 45.5 (43.1-47.8) 55.5 (51.5-59.2)
Income: $50k or more 20.8 (18.1-23.7) 25.6 (23.8-27.3) 31.3 (30.3-32.3) 37.7 (35.5-39.9) 44.5 (40.6-48.6)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 6.2 (5.4-7.0) 9.3 (8.7-10.0) 13.5 (13.0-14.0) 18.7 (17.5-19.9) 24.4 (22.1-26.7)
Males 4.8 (3.8-5.9) 7.3 (6.5-8.2) 10.9 (10.3-11.5) 15.5 (13.9-17.1) 20.8 (17.5-24.2)
Females 7.7 (6.6-8.9) 11.4 (10.6-12.3) 16.3 (15.6-17.0) 22.1 (20.5-23.7) 28.3 (25.3-31.2)
White, non-Hispanic 5.9 (5.1-6.8) 8.5 (7.9-9.2) 11.9 (11.3-12.4) 15.9 (14.6-17.2) 20.4 (18.0-22.9)
Black, non-Hispanic 7.9 (4.3-12.9) 12.2 (9.0-16.1) 18.1 (15.5-21.0) 24.7 (19.3-30.4) 31.1 (21.3-41.3)
Hispanic 7.7 (5.8-9.9) 11.7 (10.1-13.3) 17.0 (15.8-18.1) 23.3 (20.9-26.1) 30.1 (25.3-35.2)
Other, non-Hispanic 9.6 (6.3-13.3) 12.5 (10.1-14.8) 16.1 (14.6-17.7) 20.4 (16.6-24.2) 25.1 (17.8-32.2)
Income: Less than $20k 9.1 (7.0-11.5) 13.4 (11.8-15.2) 18.9 (17.6-20.3) 25.1 (22.4-27.8) 31.1 (26.3-35.9)
Income: $20k to $50k 6.6 (5.4-7.8) 9.9 (9.0-10.9) 14.3 (13.6-15.2) 19.6 (17.8-21.5) 25.1 (21.7-28.6)
Income: $50k or more 5.6 (4.4-7.2) 8.1 (7.1-9.2) 11.4 (10.7-12.1) 15.6 (13.8-17.4) 20.5 (16.8-24.3)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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