Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 23.8 (22.2-25.7) 29.3 (28.2-30.4) 35.6 (34.7-36.4) 42.4 (40.7-44.2) 49.3 (46.3-52.2)
Males 20.5 (18.4-22.9) 26.2 (24.9-27.6) 33.0 (31.9-34.1) 40.8 (38.4-43.2) 48.9 (45.0-53.1)
Females 27.8 (25.4-30.6) 33.0 (31.5-34.5) 38.5 (37.5-39.7) 44.3 (42.0-46.8) 50.0 (46.1-54.1)
White, non-Hispanic 22.2 (20.4-24.3) 27.9 (26.7-29.1) 34.3 (33.4-35.3) 41.3 (39.2-43.2) 48.4 (45.1-51.6)
Black, non-Hispanic 30.7 (20.2-43.5) 38.3 (31.6-45.4) 49.2 (43.7-54.7) 61.0 (49.7-70.8) 70.5 (54.4-82.2)
Hispanic 26.5 (17.8-37.1) 30.6 (25.1-35.9) 35.2 (31.3-38.9) 40.2 (32.1-48.1) 45.2 (31.5-58.1)
Other, non-Hispanic 29.7 (26.1-33.9) 33.5 (31.5-35.7) 37.6 (36.1-39.2) 41.9 (38.6-45.3) 46.4 (40.8-52.1)
Income: Less than $20k 25.5 (21.9-29.0) 31.1 (28.7-33.2) 37.7 (35.7-39.8) 45.1 (40.8-49.3) 52.6 (45.8-59.2)
Income: $20k to $50k 23.8 (21.1-26.6) 29.5 (27.9-31.0) 36.3 (34.9-37.7) 43.9 (40.7-46.9) 51.7 (46.7-56.4)
Income: $50k or more 22.6 (20.1-25.4) 28.9 (27.3-30.6) 36.0 (35.0-37.1) 43.8 (41.4-46.3) 51.6 (47.3-55.9)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 8.4 (7.4-9.5) 11.4 (10.7-12.1) 15.1 (14.5-15.7) 19.4 (18.0-20.9) 24.2 (21.4-26.8)
Males 5.1 (4.1-6.3) 7.8 (6.9-8.6) 11.4 (10.7-12.1) 16.1 (14.1-18.2) 21.7 (17.5-25.7)
Females 12.5 (10.8-14.3) 15.7 (14.7-16.8) 19.4 (18.5-20.3) 23.5 (21.5-25.6) 27.6 (24.1-31.4)
White, non-Hispanic 7.8 (6.8-9.0) 10.6 (9.9-11.4) 14.0 (13.4-14.6) 18.0 (16.5-19.6) 22.4 (19.5-25.5)
Black, non-Hispanic 6.6 (2.6-12.6) 13.4 (8.8-18.2) 24.8 (19.6-30.3) 38.6 (27.1-50.1) 50.3 (33.5-64.5)
Hispanic 9.8 (5.3-16.8) 12.1 (8.8-16.1) 14.9 (12.3-17.7) 18.1 (12.7-24.4) 21.4 (12.0-32.8)
Other, non-Hispanic 11.8 (9.4-14.3) 14.3 (12.8-15.8) 17.0 (15.9-18.3) 20.1 (17.6-22.9) 23.4 (18.9-28.4)
Income: Less than $20k 9.2 (7.1-11.5) 13.4 (12.0-15.1) 19.0 (17.1-20.9) 25.6 (21.6-29.8) 32.7 (25.9-39.5)
Income: $20k to $50k 7.6 (6.2-9.3) 11.5 (10.5-12.7) 16.8 (15.7-17.8) 23.2 (20.6-25.9) 30.2 (25.6-35.1)
Income: $50k or more 8.0 (6.4-9.6) 10.7 (9.6-11.7) 14.0 (13.2-14.7) 17.7 (15.9-19.7) 21.8 (18.3-25.7)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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