Obesity Prevalence
Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 24.9 (23.7-26.3) | 32.2 (31.4-33.1) | 40.6 (40.0-41.2) | 49.5 (48.3-50.8) | 58.2 (56.2-60.2) |
Males | 22.1 (20.1-24.1) | 29.3 (28.1-30.5) | 37.9 (37.0-38.7) | 47.3 (45.5-49.0) | 56.7 (53.8-59.4) |
Females | 27.7 (26.0-29.4) | 35.0 (34.0-36.0) | 43.3 (42.5-44.0) | 51.8 (50.2-53.4) | 59.7 (57.3-62.3) |
White, non-Hispanic | 21.9 (20.6-23.3) | 29.1 (28.2-30.0) | 37.6 (37.0-38.3) | 46.8 (45.4-48.2) | 55.9 (53.6-58.1) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 35.0 (32.1-38.1) | 42.6 (40.9-44.5) | 50.7 (49.6-51.8) | 58.7 (56.3-60.8) | 66.2 (62.5-69.3) |
Hispanic | 31.3 (20.9-44.0) | 34.1 (28.0-41.1) | 37.3 (33.3-41.6) | 40.8 (32.3-49.3) | 44.2 (29.8-59.1) |
Other, non-Hispanic | 29.5 (21.4-39.2) | 31.6 (26.8-36.7) | 34.0 (31.3-36.8) | 36.5 (29.8-42.6) | 38.9 (27.6-49.9) |
Income: Less than $20k | 27.6 (25.5-30.0) | 35.9 (34.5-37.3) | 45.3 (44.2-46.4) | 55.0 (52.8-57.1) | 64.0 (60.7-67.1) |
Income: $20k to $50k | 24.0 (22.1-26.1) | 32.7 (31.5-33.9) | 43.0 (42.1-44.0) | 54.1 (52.0-56.0) | 64.3 (61.1-67.2) |
Income: $50k or more | 22.3 (19.9-24.8) | 29.6 (27.9-31.2) | 38.1 (37.1-39.0) | 47.3 (45.3-49.4) | 56.4 (52.9-60.1) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 9.4 (8.7-10.4) | 13.5 (13.0-14.1) | 18.6 (18.2-19.2) | 24.5 (23.4-25.7) | 30.6 (28.5-32.8) |
Males | 6.5 (5.6-7.5) | 9.7 (9.0-10.5) | 14.1 (13.6-14.8) | 19.6 (18.1-21.1) | 25.6 (22.6-28.5) |
Females | 12.3 (11.1-13.6) | 17.1 (16.3-18.0) | 23.0 (22.4-23.7) | 29.4 (28.0-30.9) | 35.7 (33.2-38.3) |
White, non-Hispanic | 7.6 (6.8-8.5) | 11.3 (10.7-11.9) | 16.1 (15.7-16.7) | 21.9 (20.6-23.2) | 28.0 (25.8-30.4) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 15.7 (13.8-17.9) | 20.9 (19.6-22.3) | 26.8 (25.8-27.8) | 33.0 (31.0-35.1) | 39.1 (35.5-42.4) |
Hispanic | 13.1 (6.8-20.7) | 15.0 (10.8-19.4) | 17.3 (14.3-20.5) | 19.7 (13.6-26.4) | 22.2 (12.1-34.5) |
Other, non-Hispanic | 12.7 (7.5-19.3) | 13.2 (10.1-16.7) | 13.7 (12.1-15.5) | 14.2 (10.5-18.3) | 14.7 (8.4-22.4) |
Income: Less than $20k | 12.0 (10.5-13.7) | 17.7 (16.7-18.9) | 24.7 (23.8-25.7) | 32.4 (30.4-34.7) | 39.9 (36.6-43.4) |
Income: $20k to $50k | 7.9 (6.9-9.0) | 13.0 (12.2-13.9) | 20.0 (19.2-20.7) | 28.2 (26.5-30.0) | 36.6 (33.8-39.5) |
Income: $50k or more | 7.4 (6.2-8.9) | 10.8 (9.9-11.8) | 15.2 (14.5-15.8) | 20.4 (18.6-22.1) | 26.0 (22.4-29.4) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301