Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 24.9 (23.7-26.3) 32.2 (31.4-33.1) 40.6 (40.0-41.2) 49.5 (48.3-50.8) 58.2 (56.2-60.2)
Males 22.1 (20.1-24.1) 29.3 (28.1-30.5) 37.9 (37.0-38.7) 47.3 (45.5-49.0) 56.7 (53.8-59.4)
Females 27.7 (26.0-29.4) 35.0 (34.0-36.0) 43.3 (42.5-44.0) 51.8 (50.2-53.4) 59.7 (57.3-62.3)
White, non-Hispanic 21.9 (20.6-23.3) 29.1 (28.2-30.0) 37.6 (37.0-38.3) 46.8 (45.4-48.2) 55.9 (53.6-58.1)
Black, non-Hispanic 35.0 (32.1-38.1) 42.6 (40.9-44.5) 50.7 (49.6-51.8) 58.7 (56.3-60.8) 66.2 (62.5-69.3)
Hispanic 31.3 (20.9-44.0) 34.1 (28.0-41.1) 37.3 (33.3-41.6) 40.8 (32.3-49.3) 44.2 (29.8-59.1)
Other, non-Hispanic 29.5 (21.4-39.2) 31.6 (26.8-36.7) 34.0 (31.3-36.8) 36.5 (29.8-42.6) 38.9 (27.6-49.9)
Income: Less than $20k 27.6 (25.5-30.0) 35.9 (34.5-37.3) 45.3 (44.2-46.4) 55.0 (52.8-57.1) 64.0 (60.7-67.1)
Income: $20k to $50k 24.0 (22.1-26.1) 32.7 (31.5-33.9) 43.0 (42.1-44.0) 54.1 (52.0-56.0) 64.3 (61.1-67.2)
Income: $50k or more 22.3 (19.9-24.8) 29.6 (27.9-31.2) 38.1 (37.1-39.0) 47.3 (45.3-49.4) 56.4 (52.9-60.1)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 9.4 (8.7-10.4) 13.5 (13.0-14.1) 18.6 (18.2-19.2) 24.5 (23.4-25.7) 30.6 (28.5-32.8)
Males 6.5 (5.6-7.5) 9.7 (9.0-10.5) 14.1 (13.6-14.8) 19.6 (18.1-21.1) 25.6 (22.6-28.5)
Females 12.3 (11.1-13.6) 17.1 (16.3-18.0) 23.0 (22.4-23.7) 29.4 (28.0-30.9) 35.7 (33.2-38.3)
White, non-Hispanic 7.6 (6.8-8.5) 11.3 (10.7-11.9) 16.1 (15.7-16.7) 21.9 (20.6-23.2) 28.0 (25.8-30.4)
Black, non-Hispanic 15.7 (13.8-17.9) 20.9 (19.6-22.3) 26.8 (25.8-27.8) 33.0 (31.0-35.1) 39.1 (35.5-42.4)
Hispanic 13.1 (6.8-20.7) 15.0 (10.8-19.4) 17.3 (14.3-20.5) 19.7 (13.6-26.4) 22.2 (12.1-34.5)
Other, non-Hispanic 12.7 (7.5-19.3) 13.2 (10.1-16.7) 13.7 (12.1-15.5) 14.2 (10.5-18.3) 14.7 (8.4-22.4)
Income: Less than $20k 12.0 (10.5-13.7) 17.7 (16.7-18.9) 24.7 (23.8-25.7) 32.4 (30.4-34.7) 39.9 (36.6-43.4)
Income: $20k to $50k 7.9 (6.9-9.0) 13.0 (12.2-13.9) 20.0 (19.2-20.7) 28.2 (26.5-30.0) 36.6 (33.8-39.5)
Income: $50k or more 7.4 (6.2-8.9) 10.8 (9.9-11.8) 15.2 (14.5-15.8) 20.4 (18.6-22.1) 26.0 (22.4-29.4)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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